Match Info

Serie C - Group C - Round 24

Date: 1 February 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stadio Nicola De Simone (Siracusa) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Italy	17:30	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 253


	Siracusa		Crotone

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.48	3.1	2.72	Watch
	2.52	3.05	2.9
	2.45	3.07	2.83	Watch
	2.4	2.8	2.75
	2.46	2.88	2.79	Watch
	2.5	2.9	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.47 ↓ (2.87)	2.97 ↓ (3.41)	2.83 ↑ (2.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Siracusa
37%

Draw
30.8%

Crotone
32.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

32.1%

27%

40.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.4%

25.6%

43.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Siracusa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

Crotone has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Crotone might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Siracusa than the current prediction. (-6.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Siracusa that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Crotone than the current prediction. (+11%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Crotone could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Siracusa - Crotone Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Farroni A. (G) 2. Puzone M. 25. Bonacchi C. 5. Pacciardi F. 3. Cancellieri D. 24. Limonelli C. 17. Candiano M. 77. Di Paolo S. 20. Gudelevicius E. 9. Arditi G. 14. Contini G.	1. Merelli D. (G) 35. Novella M. 72. Cocetta N. 6. Di Pasquale D. 23. Groppelli F. 16. Gallo A. 7. Vinicius 21. Sandri M. 96. Zunno M. 9. Gomez G. 18. Piovanello E.
Substitutes
12. Bonucci B. (G) 6. Capomaggio T. 34. Chiara E. 21. Di Gesu E. 42. Iob S. 30. Morreale M. 10. Pannitteri O. 4. Sapola M. 7. Sbaffo A. 96. Sylla A. (G) 33. Zanini M.	28. Andreoni C. 13. Armini N. 80. Bruno K. 32. Calvano S. 11. Energe A. 25. Guerra W. 27. Maggio M. 12. Pio Martino A. (G) 61. Sala A. (G) 63. Veltri A. 77. Vrenna M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
30', 1 - 0, Contini G. (Penalty Awarded),
38', 1 - 1, Zunno M. ⚽,
45+3', Pacciardi F. 🟨,
45+4', 1 - 2, Vinicius ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
50', Novella M. 🟨,
65', 1 - 3, Gomez G. (Penalty Awarded),
66', Puzone M. ↓, Zanini M. ↑,
66', Gudelevicius E. ↓, Sbaffo A. ↑,
74', Gallo A. ↓, Vrenna M. ↑,
74', Piovanello E. ↓, Maggio M. ↑,
74', Pacciardi F. ↓, Capomaggio T. ↑,
74', Bonacchi C. ↓, Di Gesu E. ↑,
81', Di Paolo S. ↓, Pannitteri O. ↑,
83', Zunno M. ↓, Armini N. ↑,
83', Novella M. ↓, Andreoni C. ↑,
85', Vinicius 🟨,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals)).

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Siracusa won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
20	Crotone	11	1	4	6	10:16	-6	1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Siracusa Calcio
Italian Serie C Group C
24.01.26	Benevento - Siracusa	3:2 ✺
18.01.26	Siracusa - Audace Cerignola	0:1 ✺
11.01.26	Monopoli - Siracusa	1:0 ✺
04.01.26	Siracusa - Salernitana	3:1 ✺
21.12.25	Siracusa - Trapani	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 LLLWW
- FC Crotone
Italian Serie C Group C
24.01.26	Crotone - Potenza	2:0 ✺
19.01.26	Nuova Cosenza - Crotone	0:2 ✺
10.01.26	Crotone - Altamura	0:1 ✺
05.01.26	Benevento - Crotone	2:1 ✺
21.12.25	Latina - Crotone	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WWLLT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group C
20.09.25	Crotone - Siracusa	2:0

Siracusa - Crotone: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide