Match Info

Serie C - Group C - Round 20

Date: 4 January 2026, Sunday

Location: Stadio Nicola De Simone (Siracusa)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 251, Sky Sport 252, Sky Sport Calcio
World	Onefootball


	Siracusa		Salernitana

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.4	3.2	1.95
	3.6	3.3	1.95
	3.45	3.35	2.01	Watch
	3.5	3	1.95
	3.62	3.18	1.96	Watch
	3.8	3.33	1.93
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.56 ↑ (3.48)	3.23 ↓ (3.43)	1.96 ↓ (1.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Siracusa
25.5%

Draw
28.1%

Salernitana
46.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.4%

26.8%

46.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.3%

25.7%

48.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Siracusa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Salernitana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Siracusa than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Salernitana than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Siracusa - Salernitana Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Salernitana (1.44) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Salernitana will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Salernitana will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Salernitana (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Farroni A. (G) 2. Puzone M. 4. Sapola M. 5. Pacciardi F. 3. Cancellieri D. 17. Candiano M. (C) 28. Frisenna G. 77. Di Paolo S. 24. Limonelli C. 19. Valente N. 14. Contini G.	1. Donnarumma A. (G) 14. Villa L. 2. Berra F. 18. Golemic V. 28. Longobardi G. 29. Tascone M. 5. Capomaggio G. 21. Carriero G. 7. Achik I. 20. Ferraris A. 10. Ferrari F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
2', 1 - 0, Di Paolo S. ⚽,
5', Golemic V. 🟨,
21', Puzone M. 🟨,
40', 2 - 0, Contini G. ⚽,
45+7', 2 - 1, Achik I. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Longobardi G. ↓, Arena M. ↑,
49', 3 - 1, Candiano M. ⚽,
55', Carriero G. ↓, Iervolino A. ↑,
55', Tascone M. ↓, de Boer K. ↑,
60', Valente N. ↓, Parigini V. ↑,
66', Ferraris A. ↓, Boncori L. ↑,
66', Contini G. ↓, Molina J. I. ↑,
67', Arena M. 🟥,
73', Ferrari F. ↓, Matino E. ↑,
89', Pacciardi F. 🟨,
89', Frisenna G. ↓, Gudelevicius E. ↑,
89', Puzone M. ↓, Iob S. ↑,
89', Limonelli C. ↓, Morreale M. ↑,

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 16 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/8~finals)).

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Siracusa may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Salernitana might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Siracusa won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Salernitana	8	3	3	2	12:10	2	12

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Siracusa Calcio
Italian Serie C Group C
21.12.25	Siracusa - Trapani	3:0 ✺
13.12.25	Cavese - Siracusa	1:1 ✺
06.12.25	Siracusa - Foggia	2:2 ✺
30.11.25	Atalanta U23 - Siracusa	3:1 ✺
22.11.25	Siracusa - Altamura	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WTTLT
- US Salernitana 1919
Italian Serie C Group C
20.12.25	Salernitana - Foggia	2:1 ✺
13.12.25	Picerno - Salernitana	1:2 ✺
07.12.25	Salernitana - Trapani	1:1 ✺
01.12.25	Benevento - Salernitana	5:1 ✺
23.11.25	Salernitana - Potenza	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WWTLT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group C
25.08.25	Salernitana - Siracusa	1:0

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