Match Info

POLAND: DIVISION 1 - ROUND 33

Date: 29 May 2023, Monday

Location: KS Skra Częstochowa (Częstochowa)

Referee: Rasmus S. (Pol)


	Skra Częstochowa		Puszcza Niepołomice

	1	X	2
	3.4	3.1	2
	3.25	3.3	2.05
	3.15	3.35	2.15
	3.63	3.43	2.09
	3.4	3.1	2.05
	3.46	3.35	2.05
	3.25	3.25	2.18
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.36 ↑ (3.01)	3.27 ↓ (3.3)	2.08 ↓ (2.21)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Skra Częstochowa
27.4%

Draw
28.2%

Puszcza Niepołomice
44.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.6%

27.9%

41.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.1%

26.5%

43.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Skra Częstochowa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

Puszcza Niepołomice has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Skra Częstochowa than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Puszcza Niepołomice than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Skra Częstochowa - Puszcza Niepołomice Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Puszcza will win (votes: 11 - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Puszcza: 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Bursztyn J. (G) 31. Krzyzak O. 4. Mesjasz A. 20. Szymanski S. 13. Flak J. 16. Baranowicz B. 24. Babiarz B. 15. Lukoszek K. 7. Nocon P. (C) 10. Pyrdol P. 19. Jaroch G.	1. Komar K. (G) 8. Mrozinski P. 4. Wojcinowicz T. 27. Solowiej L. 3. Yakuba R. 70. Hajda W. 14. Serafin J. (C) 97. Siemaszko A. 44. Frelek D. 25. Zapolnik K. 45. Kidric R.
Substitutes
8. Brusilo R. 5. Czajka B. 87. Golebiowski R. 9. Kozlowski F. 26. Olejnik A. 25. Sajdak P. 21. Sangowski J. 99. Szymkowiak K. (G) 3. Winciersz M.	17. Bartosz J. 9. Boguski R. 21. Koj M. 30. Kramarz A. . Pieczek M. 19. Stec J. 11. Thiakane E. 12. Wroblewski K. (G)
Coaches
Dziolka J.	Tulacz T.

Preview

No spectators.

Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 2 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

Skra Częstochowa is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Puszcza is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Skra Częstochowa could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Skra Częstochowa won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Skra Częstochowa won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- KS Skra Częstochowa
Polish Division 1
22.05.23	Chrobry Głogów - Skra Częstochowa	1:0 ✺
12.05.23	Skra Częstochowa - Górnik Łęczna	0:1 ✺
07.05.23	Skra Częstochowa - GKS Tychy	0:1 ✺
28.04.23	GKS Katowice - Skra Częstochowa	0:1 ✺
22.04.23	Skra Częstochowa - Odra Opole	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 LLLWT
- Puszcza Niepołomice
Polish Division 1
21.05.23	Puszcza Niepołomice - GKS Tychy	2:1 ✺
13.05.23	GKS Katowice - Puszcza Niepołomice	2:2 ✺
06.05.23	Puszcza Niepołomice - Odra Opole	1:0 ✺
30.04.23	Arka Gdynia - Puszcza Niepołomice	1:1 ✺
22.04.23	Puszcza Niepołomice - Resovia Rzeszów	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 WTWTT

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 1
31.10.22	Puszcza Niepołomice - Skra Częstochowa	3:0
13.05.22	Skra Częstochowa - Puszcza Niepołomice	1:2
05.11.21	Puszcza Niepołomice - Skra Częstochowa	1:2

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