Match Info

POLAND: DIVISION 1 - ROUND 18

Date: 12 November 2022, Saturday

Location: GIEKSA Arena (Bełchatów)

Referee: Sulikowski D. (Pol)


	Skra Częstochowa		Ruch Chorzów

	1	X	2
	4.33	3.4	1.72
	4.2	3.5	1.75
	4.3	3.5	1.78
	4.1	3.45	1.79
	4.84	3.72	1.75
	4.4	3.25	1.73
	4.6	3.62	1.74	Watch
	4.2	3.5	1.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.37 ↑ (3.35)	3.49 ↑ (3.23)	1.76 ↓ (2.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Skra Częstochowa
21.1%

Draw
26.4%

Ruch Chorzów
52.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.3%

28.3%

44.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.3%

27.3%

46.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Skra Częstochowa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Skra Częstochowa's form might have worsened.

Ruch Chorzów has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ruch Chorzów's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Skra Częstochowa than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Skra Częstochowa, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ruch Chorzów than the current prediction. (-6.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ruch Chorzów, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.8%	7.4%	77.8%

Skra Częstochowa - Ruch Chorzów Predictions

Users Predictions: 27 users predict this event. Skra Częstochowa will win (votes: 4 - 14.8%). Ruch Chorzów will win (votes: 21 - 77.8%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 7.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ruch Chorzów: 62.1% – 93.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

#ad

Preview

Playing home matches at a different stadium - GIEKSA Arena.

Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 2 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs)).

Skra Częstochowa has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Ruch Chorzów is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Ruch Chorzów is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Ruch Chorzów to win the game is with odds 1.89.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Skra Częstochowa won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Skra Częstochowa won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- KS Skra Częstochowa
Polish Division 1
06.11.22	Skra Częstochowa - Stal Rzeszów	0:1 ✺
31.10.22	Puszcza Niepołomice - Skra Częstochowa	3:0 ✺
24.10.22	Skra Częstochowa - Chrobry Głogów	1:2 ✺
15.10.22	Górnik Łęczna - Skra Częstochowa	3:0 ✺
09.10.22	GKS Tychy - Skra Częstochowa	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Ruch Chorzów
Polish Division 1
05.11.22	GKS Tychy - Ruch Chorzów	2:2 ✺
29.10.22	Ruch Chorzów - GKS Katowice	1:0 ✺
21.10.22	Odra Opole - Ruch Chorzów	1:1 ✺
16.10.22	Ruch Chorzów - Arka Gdynia	2:4 ✺
08.10.22	Resovia Rzeszów - Ruch Chorzów	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 TWTLT

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 1
15.07.22	Ruch Chorzów - Skra Częstochowa	0:0
Club Friendly
19.02.22	Ruch Chorzów - Skra Częstochowa	0:2
Polish Cup
07.08.19	Skra Częstochowa - Ruch Chorzów	1:2
Polish Division 2
24.11.18	Skra Częstochowa - Ruch Chorzów	1:0
04.08.18	Ruch Chorzów - Skra Częstochowa	4:0

Upcoming Matches