Match Info

Champions League - League phase - Round 5

Date: 25 November 2025, Tuesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Fortuna Arena (Prague) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Rumsas D. (Ltu)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	DStv Now, New World Sport 6, New World Sport App, Supersport Action, SuperSport OTT 3, SuperSport Variety 2
Argentina	17:00	Disney+
Armenia	00:00	Fast Sports
Asia	—	beIN Sports MENA 8
Australia	07:00	Stan Sport
Austria	21:00	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1, Sky Sport Austria 8
Belgium	21:00	Pickx+ Sports 8, Pickx+ Sports 8
Brazil	17:00	HBO Max
Canada	15:00	DAZN Canada
China	04:00	iQIYI, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Croatia	21:00	Arena Sport 9
Czech Republic	21:00	Nova Sport 3, Oneplay
Denmark	21:00	Viaplay
Finland	22:00	MTV Katsomo+
France	21:00	Canal+ Live 7
Germany	21:00	DAZN Deutsch
Greece	22:00	COSMOTE Sport 9
Hong Kong	04:00	beIN SPORTS MAX
Hungary	21:00	RTL+
Iceland	20:00	SÝN Sport 5
India	01:30	JioTV app, Sony LIV
Indonesia	03:00	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX, Vidio
Kenya	23:00	Gotv
Laos	03:00	beIN Connect
Malaysia	04:00	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Mexico	14:00	Caliente TV, FOX One
New Zealand	09:00	DAZN New Zealand
Nigeria	21:00	SuperSport Action, SuperSport OTT 3
Norway	21:00	TV2 Play
Pakistan	01:00	Tapmad
Peru	15:00	Disney+, Fox Sports 3
Philippines	04:00	beIN SPORTS MAX
Poland	21:00	Canal+ Extra 7
Portugal	20:00	DAZN / App
Romania	22:00	Prima Sport PPV 2
Russia	23:00	Okko Sport
Singapore	04:00	beIN SPORTS MAX
Slovakia	21:00	Voyo
South Africa	22:00	SuperSport OTT 3, SuperSport Variety 2
South America	—	ESPN 6 South, ViX Latin America
South Korea	05:00	SPOTV Now
Spain	21:00	M+ Liga de Campeones 3
Sweden	21:00	Viaplay
Switzerland	21:00	Blue Sport 9, Blue Sport 9
Thailand	03:00	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Turkey	23:00	Tabii Spor 6, Tabii
United Kingdom	20:00	Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 7, TNT Sports Extra
Uruguay	17:00	Disney+
Usa	15:00	Paramount+
Venezuela	16:00	Disney+
Vietnam	03:00	ON Plus


	Slavia Prague		Athletic Bilbao

	1	X	2
	3.25	3.2	2.25
				Watch
	3.15	3.4	2.38
	3.24	3.4	2.37
	3.23	3.42	2.42
	3.2	3.25	2.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.21 ↑ (2.96)	3.33 ↓ (3.36)	2.35 ↓ (2.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Slavia Prague
30%

Draw
28.9%

Athletic Bilbao
41.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

32.4%

28.5%

39.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32%

28.9%

39.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Slavia Prague has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

Athletic Bilbao has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Slavia Prague than the current prediction. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Athletic Bilbao than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16%	22%	62%

Slavia Prague - Athletic Bilbao Predictions

Users Predictions: 44 users predict this event. Slavia Prague will win (votes: 8 - 18.2%). Athletic will win (votes: 28 - 63.6%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 18.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Athletic: 49.4% – 77.8%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 17 Selected Experts predict this event. Slavia Prague (votes: 3 - 17.6%). Athletic (votes: 10 - 58.8%). Tie (votes: 4 - 23.5%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 1, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 6 - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

BTTS, 2nd Half - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.25 - Athletic (2.08) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 18 Selected Experts predict this event. Slavia Prague (votes: 3 - 16.7%). Athletic (votes: 11 - 61.1%). Tie (votes: 4 - 22.2%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
36. Stanek J. (G) 16. Moses D. 4. Zima D. 2. Chaloupek S. 21. Doudera D. 23. Sadilek M. 10. Zafeiris C. 12. Mbodji Y. 17. Provod L. (C) 25. Chory T. 11. Sanyang Y.	1. Simon U. (C) 12. Areso J. 3. Vivian D. 4. Paredes A. 19. Boiro A. 16. Ruiz de Galarreta I. 30. Rego A. 7. Berenguer A. 8. Sancet O. 23. Navarro R. 11. Guruzeta G.
Substitutes
18. Boril J. 7. Cham M. 13. Chytil M. 8. Hashioka D. 3. Holes T. 43. Jelinek T. 9. Kusej V. 35. Markovic J. (G) 5. Ogbu I. 31. Prekop E. 30. Toula D. 27. Vlcek T.	17. Berchiche Y. 20. Gomez U. 2. Gorosabel A. 31. Hierro A. 18. Jauregizar M. 14. Laporte A. 15. Lekue I. 27. Padilla A. (G) 44. Sanchez S. 26. Santos M. (G) 6. Vesga M. 10. Williams N.
Coaches
Trpisovsky J.	Valverde E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
15', Provod L. 🟨,
19', Guruzeta G. 🟨,
40', Chory T. 🟨,
42', Trpisovsky J. 🟨,
45+4', Ruiz de Galarreta I. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
55', Doudera D. ↓, Holes T. ↑,
55', Mbodji Y. ↓, Boril J. ↑,
55', Sanyang Y. ↓, Kusej V. ↑,
57', Sancet O. ↓, Sanchez S. ↑,
58', Berenguer A. ↓, Williams N. ↑,
61', Valverde E. 🟨,
64', Ruiz de Galarreta I. ↓, Jauregizar M. ↑,
79', Guruzeta G. ↓, Gomez U. ↑,
79', Areso J. ↓, Lekue I. ↑,
79', Zafeiris C. ↓, Chytil M. ↑,
86', Paredes A. 🟨,

Preview

Slavia Prague is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Athletic has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

There will not play in Slavia Prague: Dorley O. (Muscle Injury) Fully E. (Inactive) Javorcek D. (Knee Injury) Kolar O. (Inactive) Sevcik P. (Knee Injury) Vorlicky L. (Inactive) Zmrzly O. (Inactive)

There will not play in Athletic: Alvarez Y. (Doping) Egiluz U. (Knee Injury) Izeta (Inactive) Prados Diaz B. (Knee Injury) Sannadi M. (Knee Injury) Serrano N. (Muscle Injury) Williams I. (Groin Injury)

We predict that Slavia Prague will win today's game, with odds of 3.14.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Slavia Prague won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SK Slavia Prague
Czech 1 Liga
22.11.25	Slavia Prague - Bohemians 1905	3:1 ✺
09.11.25	Viktoria Plzeň - Slavia Prague	3:5 ✺
UEFA Champions League
04.11.25	Slavia Prague - Arsenal	0:3 ✺
Czech 1 Liga
01.11.25	Slavia Prague - Baník Ostrava	2:0 ✺
Czech Cup
29.10.25	Zlín - Slavia Prague	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WWLWW
- Athletic Bilbao
Spanish LaLiga
22.11.25	Barcelona - Athletic Bilbao	4:0 ✺
09.11.25	Athletic Bilbao - Real Oviedo	1:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
05.11.25	Newcastle United - Athletic Bilbao	2:0 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
01.11.25	Real Sociedad - Athletic Bilbao	3:2 ✺
25.10.25	Athletic Bilbao - Getafe	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa League
24.10.24	Athletic Bilbao - Slavia Prague	1:0

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