Match Info

Champions League - League phase - Round 5

Date: 25 November 2025, Tuesday

Location: Fortuna Arena (Prague)

Referee: Rumsas D. (Ltu)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	DStv Now, New World Sport 6, New World Sport App, Supersport Action, SuperSport OTT 3, SuperSport Variety 2
Argentina	Disney+
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Sports MENA 8
Australia	Stan Sport
Austria	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1, Sky Sport Austria 8
Belgium	Pickx+ Sports 8, Pickx+ Sports 8
Brazil	HBO Max
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Croatia	Arena Sport 9
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Denmark	Viaplay
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France	Canal+ Live 7
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Greece	COSMOTE Sport 9
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Kenya	Gotv
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Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Mexico	Caliente TV, FOX One
New-zealand	DAZN New Zealand
Nigeria	SuperSport Action, SuperSport OTT 3
Norway	TV2 Play
Pakistan	Tapmad
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Poland	Canal+ Extra 7
Portugal	DAZN / App
Romania	Prima Sport PPV 2
Russia	Okko Sport
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Slovakia	Voyo
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South-america	ESPN 6 South, ViX Latin America
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Thailand	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
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Uruguay	Disney+
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Venezuela	Disney+
Vietnam	ON Plus


	Slavia Prague		Athletic Bilbao

	1	X	2
	3.25	3.2	2.25
				Watch
	3.15	3.4	2.38
	3.24	3.4	2.37
	3.23	3.42	2.42
	3.2	3.25	2.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.21 ↑ (2.96)	3.33 ↓ (3.36)	2.35 ↓ (2.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Slavia Prague
30%

Draw
28.9%

Athletic Bilbao
41.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.4%

28.5%

39.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32%

28.9%

39.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Slavia Prague has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

Athletic Bilbao has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Slavia Prague than the current prediction. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Athletic Bilbao than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16%	22%	62%

Slavia Prague - Athletic Bilbao Predictions

Users Predictions: 44 users predict this event. Slavia Prague will win (votes: 8 - 18.2%). Athletic will win (votes: 28 - 63.6%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 18.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Athletic: 49.4% – 77.8%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 17 Selected Experts predict this event. Slavia Prague (votes: 3 - 17.6%). Athletic (votes: 10 - 58.8%). Tie (votes: 4 - 23.5%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 1, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 6 - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

BTTS, 2nd Half - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.25 - Athletic (2.08) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 18 Selected Experts predict this event. Slavia Prague (votes: 3 - 16.7%). Athletic (votes: 11 - 61.1%). Tie (votes: 4 - 22.2%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
36. Stanek J. (G) 16. Moses D. 4. Zima D. 2. Chaloupek S. 21. Doudera D. 23. Sadilek M. 10. Zafeiris C. 12. Mbodji Y. 17. Provod L. (C) 25. Chory T. 11. Sanyang Y.	1. Simon U. (C) 12. Areso J. 3. Vivian D. 4. Paredes A. 19. Boiro A. 16. Ruiz de Galarreta I. 30. Rego A. 7. Berenguer A. 8. Sancet O. 23. Navarro R. 11. Guruzeta G.
Substitutes
18. Boril J. 7. Cham M. 13. Chytil M. 8. Hashioka D. 3. Holes T. 43. Jelinek T. 9. Kusej V. 35. Markovic J. (G) 5. Ogbu I. 31. Prekop E. 30. Toula D. 27. Vlcek T.	17. Berchiche Y. 20. Gomez U. 2. Gorosabel A. 31. Hierro A. 18. Jauregizar M. 14. Laporte A. 15. Lekue I. 27. Padilla A. (G) 44. Sanchez S. 26. Santos M. (G) 6. Vesga M. 10. Williams N.
Coaches
Trpisovsky J.	Valverde E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
15', Provod L. 🟨,
19', Guruzeta G. 🟨,
40', Chory T. 🟨,
42', Trpisovsky J. 🟨,
45+4', Ruiz de Galarreta I. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
55', Doudera D. ↓, Holes T. ↑,
55', Mbodji Y. ↓, Boril J. ↑,
55', Sanyang Y. ↓, Kusej V. ↑,
57', Sancet O. ↓, Sanchez S. ↑,
58', Berenguer A. ↓, Williams N. ↑,
61', Valverde E. 🟨,
64', Ruiz de Galarreta I. ↓, Jauregizar M. ↑,
79', Guruzeta G. ↓, Gomez U. ↑,
79', Areso J. ↓, Lekue I. ↑,
79', Zafeiris C. ↓, Chytil M. ↑,
86', Paredes A. 🟨,

Preview

Slavia Prague is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Athletic has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

There will not play in Slavia Prague: Dorley O. (Muscle Injury) Fully E. (Inactive) Javorcek D. (Knee Injury) Kolar O. (Inactive) Sevcik P. (Knee Injury) Vorlicky L. (Inactive) Zmrzly O. (Inactive)

There will not play in Athletic: Alvarez Y. (Doping) Egiluz U. (Knee Injury) Izeta (Inactive) Prados Diaz B. (Knee Injury) Sannadi M. (Knee Injury) Serrano N. (Muscle Injury) Williams I. (Groin Injury)

We predict that Slavia Prague will win today's game, with odds of 3.14.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Slavia Prague won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SK Slavia Prague
Czech 1 Liga
22.11.25	Slavia Prague - Bohemians 1905	3:1 ✺
09.11.25	Viktoria Plzeň - Slavia Prague	3:5 ✺
UEFA Champions League
04.11.25	Slavia Prague - Arsenal	0:3 ✺
Czech 1 Liga
01.11.25	Slavia Prague - Baník Ostrava	2:0 ✺
Czech Cup
29.10.25	Zlín - Slavia Prague	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WWLWW
- Athletic Bilbao
Spanish LaLiga
22.11.25	Barcelona - Athletic Bilbao	4:0 ✺
09.11.25	Athletic Bilbao - Real Oviedo	1:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
05.11.25	Newcastle United - Athletic Bilbao	2:0 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
01.11.25	Real Sociedad - Athletic Bilbao	3:2 ✺
25.10.25	Athletic Bilbao - Getafe	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa League
24.10.24	Athletic Bilbao - Slavia Prague	1:0

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