Match Info

LaLiga - Round 12

Date: 9 November 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio San Mamés (Bilbao)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Azam Sports 4, DStv Now, New World Sport 3, New World Sport App, Sporty TV, StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Life, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport Maximo 3
Albania	SuperSport 3
Argentina	DirecTV Sports, DSports 2
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, TOD
Australia	Amazon Prime Video, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Austria	DAZN
Bangladesh	Begin
Bolivia	Tigo Sports 1, Tigo Sports App
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 3
Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 3, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	Max Sport 4
Cameroon	CRTV Sports
Canada	Amazon Prime Video, TSN+
Chile	DirecTV Sports
China	iQIYI, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Croatia	Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 4, Oneplay
Denmark	TV2 Play
Ecuador	DirecTV Sports, DSports 2
Europe	Go3 Sport 3 Baltic
Finland	MTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Max
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 8, Free
Georgia	Silk Sport 1
Germany	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch
Greece	Nova Sports 1
Hong-kong	M Plus Live
Hungary	Spiler2 TV, TV2 Play Premium
India	FanCode, FanCode
Indonesia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Vidio
Israel	ONE Sport
Italy	DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan, U-NEXT
Kazakhstan	Setanta Sports
Kenya	Gotv
Kosovo	Arena Premium 1
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Sooka
Maldives	ICE Xtra, Medianet
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 4
Mexico	Sky Sport
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 3
New-zealand	beIN Connect
Nigeria	SuperSport LaLiga
North-central-america	DirecTV Sports Caribbean, RUSH Sports 2 Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte
Norway	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport Premium, Viaplay
Peru	DirecTV Sports
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Poland	CANAL+ Sport
Portugal	DAZN 2, DAZN / App
Romania	Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 3, Prima TV
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 2, Match TV, Okko Sport, Sportbox.ru
Serbia	Arena Premium 1
Singapore	beIN Sport 1
Slovakia	Voyo
Slovenia	Arena Sport 1 Premium
South-africa	SuperSport La Liga, SuperSport Laliga
South-america	DGO Latin America
Spain	LaLiga TV Bar, M+ LaLiga
Sweden	TV4 Play, TV4 Sportkanalen
Thailand	AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Turkey	S Sport, S Sport+
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 1, MEGOGO Ukraine
United-kingdom	Amazon Prime Video, Premier Sports 1, Premier Sports 2, Premier Sports Player
Uruguay	DirecTV Sports, DSports 2
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN Deportes, ESPN+, Fubo Sports Network
Venezuela	DirecTV Sports, DSports 2, Inter


	Athletic Bilbao		Real Oviedo

	1	X	2
	1.6	3.5	7	Watch
	1.58	3.7	6.9	Watch
	1.61	3.75	7.27
	1.49	4.01	7.65	Watch
	1.62	3.58	7.53	Watch
	1.49	4.2	7.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.57 ↑ (1.49)	3.79 ↓ (4.01)	7.29 ↓ (7.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Athletic Bilbao
61.4%

Draw
25.4%

Real Oviedo
13.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.8%

23.7%

12.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.1%

22.9%

12%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Athletic Bilbao has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

Real Oviedo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Athletic Bilbao than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Oviedo than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87.5%	7.5%	5%

Athletic Bilbao - Real Oviedo Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1 - Oviedo (1.78) (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

O/U 3.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2 - over (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Users Predictions: Athletic Bilbao will win (35 of 40 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 77.25% – 97.75%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Athletic Bilbao will win (9 of 10 users predict this - 90%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 14 Selected Experts predict this event. Athletic (votes: 9 - 64.3%). Oviedo (votes: 5 - 35.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Simon U. (G) 2. Gorosabel A. 3. Vivian D. 14. Laporte A. 17. Berchiche Y. (C) 16. Ruiz de Galarreta I. 18. Jauregizar M. 7. Berenguer A. 44. Sanchez S. 10. Williams N. 11. Guruzeta G.	13. Escandell A. (G) 22. Vidal N. 4. Costas D. (C) 16. Carmo D. 25. Lopez J. 5. Reina A. 20. Dendoncker L. 11. Colombatto S. 7. Chaira I. 23. Rondon S. 9. Vinas F.
Substitutes
12. Areso J. 19. Boiro A. 20. Gomez U. 31. Hierro A. 25. Izeta 23. Navarro R. 27. Padilla A. (G) 4. Paredes A. 30. Rego A. 22. Serrano N. 6. Vesga M.	27. Agudin P. 24. Ahijado L. 3. Alhassane R. 2. Bailly E. 12. Calvo D. 17. Domingues B. 19. Fores A. 10. Hassan H. 21. Ilic L. 15. Luengo O. 1. Moldovan H. (G) 6. Sibo K.
Coaches
Valverde E.	Carrion L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
25', 1 - 0, Williams N. ⚽, Laporte A. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
47', Ruiz de Galarreta I. 🟨,
53', Chaira I. ↓, Hassan H. ↑,
57', Escandell A. 🟨,
64', Sanchez S. ↓, Gomez U. ↑,
72', Reina A. ↓, Ilic L. ↑,
72', Rondon S. ↓, Agudin P. ↑,
73', Williams N. ↓, Navarro R. ↑,
73', Ruiz de Galarreta I. ↓, Rego A. ↑,
84', Berenguer A. ↓, Serrano N. ↑,
84', Guruzeta G. ↓, Vesga M. ↑,
85', Colombatto S. ↓, Fores A. ↑,
85', Dendoncker L. ↓, Sibo K. ↑,

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 12 and 20 in the zone Relegation ~ LaLiga2).

Both teams are currently in poor form.

In this match, Athletic is the clear favorite.

There will not play in Athletic: Alvarez Y. (Doping) Egiluz U. (Knee Injury) Prados Diaz B. (Knee Injury) Sancet O. (Muscle Injury) Sannadi M. (Knee Injury) Williams I. (Groin Injury)

There will not play in Oviedo: Brekalo J. (Groin Injury) Cazorla S. (Ankle Injury) Ejaria O. (Injury) Lemos A. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Athletic: Williams N. (Groin Injury)

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Athletic won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Athletic Bilbao
UEFA Champions League
05.11.25	Newcastle United - Athletic Bilbao	2:0 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
01.11.25	Real Sociedad - Athletic Bilbao	3:2 ✺
25.10.25	Athletic Bilbao - Getafe	0:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
22.10.25	Athletic Bilbao - Qarabağ Agdam	3:1 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
19.10.25	Elche - Athletic Bilbao	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 LLLWT
- Real Oviedo
Spanish LaLiga
03.11.25	Real Oviedo - Osasuna	0:0 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
28.10.25	Ourense CF - Real Oviedo	4:2 ET ✺
Spanish LaLiga
25.10.25	Girona - Real Oviedo	3:3 ✺
17.10.25	Real Oviedo - Espanyol	0:2 ✺
04.10.25	Real Oviedo - Levante	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 TLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
04.09.20	Real Oviedo - Athletic Bilbao	2:2

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