The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Amiens 49.5%
Draw 30.4%
Ajaccio 20.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
43.4%
30.5%
26.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
44.4%
29.8%
25.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Amiens has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Amiens's performance.
Ajaccio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ajaccio might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Amiens than the current prediction. (-5.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Amiens that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ajaccio than the current prediction. (+5.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ajaccio could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
57.1%
42.9%
0%
Amiens - Ajaccio Predictions
Users Predictions:
21 users predict this event. Amiens will win (votes: 12 - 57.1%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 42.9%). Confidence interval (95%) for Amiens: 35.9% – 78.3%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Gurtner R. (C) 14. Corchia S. 2. Fofana M. 34. Bakayoko S. 19. Vita R. 25. Gene O. 20. Kaiboue K. 7. Leautey A. 27. Lutin R. 10. Kandil N. 9. Mafouta L.
16. Sollacaro F. (G) 12. Huard M. 88. Bamba A. (C) 31. Ayessa J. 23. Strata T. 34. Silva R. 25. Anziani J. 8. Puch-Herrantz M. 22. Soumano M. 11. Toure B. 17. Junior Pereira da Silva E.
Substitutes
29. Boya F. 17. Chibozo A. 13. Jaouab M. 18. Manitu M. 16. Sauvage A. (G) 58. Tine M. 5. Urhoghide O.
37. Beltaief Z. 21. Chegra I. 9. Ibayi C. 36. Martinez-Jullien O. 30. Quilichini G. (G) 5. Vidal C. 20. Youssouf M.
Coaches
Daf O.
Chabert M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 1)
2', 1 - 0, Mafouta L. (Pen),
33', Toure B. 🟨,
38', 2 - 0, Kaiboue K. ⚽, Corchia S. (A),
42', 2 - 1, Soumano M. ⚽, Huard M. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
51', Lutin R. ↓, Boya F. ↑,
62', Puch-Herrantz M. ↓, Ibayi C. ↑,
65', Junior Pereira da Silva E. 🟨,
69', Toure B. ↓, Chegra I. ↑,
74', Kaiboue K. ↓, Tine M. ↑,
81', Huard M. ↓, Youssouf M. ↑,
81', Silva R. ↓, Beltaief Z. ↑,
86', Corchia S. ↓, Urhoghide O. ↑,
87', Kandil N. ↓, Chibozo A. ↑,
90', Tine M. 🟨,
90+3', 3 - 1, Mafouta L. (Pen),
Preview
Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 11 and 12).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Amiens won 0.
Both teams are now playing unstable.
Amiens will have a mini benefit in this match.
There will not play in Ajaccio: Jabol-Folcarelli T.
(Red Card)
Kouassi A.
(Red Card)
Mangani T.
(Yellow Cards)
Santelli B.
(Red Card)
There are questionable in Amiens: Ikia Dimi Y. J.
(Knock)
Touho M.
(Knock)
There are questionable in Ajaccio: Barreto M.
(Injury)
Huard M.
(Ankle Injury)
Kante A.
(Injury)
Toure A.
(Injury)
Last 8 head-to-head matches Amiens won 1 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6:8 (average 0.8:1).
Including matches at home between the teams Amiens won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:2 (average 0.5:0.5).
Andorra
France
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Gurtner R. (C) 
Fofana M. 
Vita R. 
Kandil N. 
Mafouta L. 
Strata T. 
Silva R. 
Puch-Herrantz M. 
Toure B. 
Boya F. 
Chibozo A. 
Manitu M. 
Tine M. 
Urhoghide O. 
Ibayi C. 
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