Match Info

FRANCE: LIGUE 2 - ROUND 23

Date: 11 February 2023, Saturday

Location: Stade Auguste Bonal (Montbéliard)

Referee: Kherradji A. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


France	Amazon Prime Video


	Sochaux		Le Havre

	1	X	2
	2.45	3	3	Watch
	2.4	2.9	3.1
	2.5	2.8	3.15
	2.56	2.91	3.34
	2.4	2.9	3.1
	2.42	3.13	3.1	Watch
	2.47	2.95	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.46 ↓ (2.5)	2.94 ↓ (3.13)	3.13 ↑ (2.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sochaux
38.2%

Draw
31.9%

Le Havre
30%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37%

29.6%

33.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.7%

30.1%

32.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sochaux has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Le Havre has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sochaux than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Le Havre than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	40%	20%

Sochaux - Le Havre Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Sochaux will win (votes: 4 - 40%). Le Havre will win (votes: 2 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 40%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sochaux: 9.6% – 70.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 1 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 1).

Sochaux has the most likely position - 3 (21.96%), has project points - 65, has currently - 39, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a chance of promoted (35%), has a small chance of win league (11%).

Le Havre has the most likely position - 1 (65.15%), has project points - 75, has currently - 47, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a good chance of promoted (86%), has a good chance of win league (65%).

This event has quality 44, big importance 87, match rating 65. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Sochaux won 3.

Recent matches Sochaux is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Le Havre is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 16 head-to-head matches Sochaux won 6 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 19-19.

Including matches at home between the teams Sochaux won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 11-9.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Sochaux Montbeliard
French Ligue 2
03.02.23	Rodez - Sochaux	1:2 ✺
31.01.23	Sochaux - Valenciennes	4:0 ✺
28.01.23	Saint-Étienne - Sochaux	2:3 ✺
20.01.23	Sochaux - Caen	1:2 ✺
10.01.23	Le Havre - Sochaux	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 WWWLL
- Le Havre AC
French Ligue 2
03.02.23	Le Havre - Paris FC	0:0 ✺
31.01.23	Bordeaux - Le Havre	1:2 ✺
28.01.23	Amiens - Le Havre	1:1 ✺
13.01.23	Le Havre - Nîmes	3:1 ✺
10.01.23	Le Havre - Sochaux	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 TWTWW

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 2
10.01.23	Le Havre - Sochaux	1:0
08.01.22	Le Havre - Sochaux	0:1
31.07.21	Sochaux - Le Havre	0:2
20.03.21	Le Havre - Sochaux	0:2
28.11.20	Sochaux - Le Havre	4:0
08.11.19	Sochaux - Le Havre	2:0
12.04.19	Sochaux - Le Havre	1:3

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