Match Info

FRANCE: LIGUE 2 - ROUND 22

Date: 3 February 2023, Friday

Location: Stade Paul-Lignon (Rodez)

Referee: Toulliou W. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


France	Amazon Prime Video


	Rodez		Sochaux

	1	X	2
	3.5	3.4	2.05	Watch
	3.7	3.2	2.05
	3.65	3.1	2.08
	3.15	3.05	2.21
	3.86	3.33	2.11
	3.8	3.1	2.05
	3.92	3.34	1.99	Watch
	3.75	3.25	2.02
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.67 ↑ (3.36)	3.22 ↑ (3.09)	2.07 ↓ (2.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rodez
25.6%

Draw
29.1%

Sochaux
45.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.4%

29.7%

42.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.2%

27.9%

40.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rodez has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Sochaux has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rodez than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sochaux than the current prediction. (-5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
8.3%	11.1%	80.6%

Rodez - Sochaux Predictions

Users Predictions: Sochaux will win (29 of 36 users predict this - 80.56%).
Confidence interval (95%): 67.63% – 93.49%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ National and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 1).

Rodez has the most likely position - 19 (23.72%), has project points - 39, has currently - 20, has a good chance of relegated (68%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Sochaux has the most likely position - 2 (23.37%), has project points - 64, has currently - 36, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a chance of promoted (34%), has a small chance of win league (8%).

This event has quality 31, importance 57, match rating 44. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Rodez won 0.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Sochaux will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Rodez won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 4-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Rodez won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rodez AF
French Ligue 2
31.01.23	Metz - Rodez	1:1 ✺
28.01.23	Rodez - Guingamp	0:1 ✺
Coupe De France
21.01.23	Grasse - Rodez	0:1 penalties ✺
French Ligue 2
13.01.23	Laval - Rodez	3:1 ✺
10.01.23	Rodez - Niort	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 TLWLT
- FC Sochaux Montbeliard
French Ligue 2
31.01.23	Sochaux - Valenciennes	4:0 ✺
28.01.23	Saint-Étienne - Sochaux	2:3 ✺
20.01.23	Sochaux - Caen	1:2 ✺
10.01.23	Le Havre - Sochaux	1:0 ✺
30.12.22	Bordeaux - Sochaux	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 2
26.12.22	Sochaux - Rodez	1:0
19.03.22	Sochaux - Rodez	2:0
16.10.21	Rodez - Sochaux	0:1
30.01.21	Rodez - Sochaux	1:1
19.09.20	Sochaux - Rodez	2:2
28.02.20	Sochaux - Rodez	1:1
27.09.19	Rodez - Sochaux	0:2

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