Match Info

FRANCE: COUPE DE FRANCE - 1/32-FINALS

Date: 6 January 2024, Saturday

Location: Stade Auguste Bonal (Montbéliard)

Where to Watch on TV:


France	beIN Sports Max


	Sochaux		Lorient

	1	X	2
	2.6	3.2	2.6	Watch
	2.65	3.1	2.5
	2.65	3.2	2.65	Watch
	2.62	3.19	2.88
	2.6	3.19	2.64
	2.5	3.25	2.45
	2.68	3.28	2.67
	2.65	3.25	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.62 ↓ (3.98)	3.21 ↓ (3.55)	2.62 ↑ (1.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sochaux
35.5%

Draw
29%

Lorient
35.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.1%

26%

50.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.4%

21.9%

42.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sochaux has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sochaux's performance.

Lorient has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lorient might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sochaux than the current prediction. (-8.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sochaux that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lorient than the current prediction. (+7.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lorient could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	12.5%	37.5%

Sochaux - Lorient Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Sochaux will win (votes: 8 - 50%). Lorient will win (votes: 6 - 37.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sochaux: 25.5% – 74.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Patouillet M. (G) 2. Silva A. 4. Vitelli A. 6. Fontaine T. (C) 3. Dacosta J. 5. Gomis D. 8. Daho A. 10. Perreira de Sa R. 11. Fatar N. 7. Michel D. 9. Zohi K.	1. Gomis A. (G) 2. Sylla D. 5. Laporte J. 6. Abergel L. 3. Pelon A. 8. Makengo J. 4. Mouyokolo L. 7. Tosin A. 10. Ponceau J. 11. Le Bris T. 9. Kroupi E. J.
Substitutes
17. Ackra A. 13. Atangana J. 15. Galves N. 12. Koffi N. 14. Lecolier M. 18. Macalou I. 19. Makosso C. 20. Mendes Da Silva E. 16. Valette B. (G)	15. Avom A. 14. Bakayoko T. 13. Caoki G. 20. Dieng B. 12. Genton E. 18. Kari A. 17. Mvuka Mugisha J. 19. Openda R. 16. Youfeigane D. (G)

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Sochaux won 1.

Sochaux is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Lorient has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Lorient will have a small advantage in this match.

Our prediction for today's Sochaux to win the game is with odds 3.2.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Sochaux won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 6-13.

Including matches at home between the teams Sochaux won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Sochaux Montbeliard
French Ligue 3
15.12.23	Dijon - Sochaux	0:3 ✺
Coupe De France
09.12.23	Geispolsheim - Sochaux	0:4 ✺
French Ligue 3
01.12.23	Sochaux - Marignane Gignac Côte Bleue	4:0 ✺
27.11.23	Niort - Sochaux	4:2 ✺
Coupe De France
17.11.23	Sochaux - Jura Sud Lavans	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 WWWLW
- FC Lorient
French Ligue 1
20.12.23	Brest - Lorient	4:0 ✺
17.12.23	Lorient - Strasbourg	1:2 ✺
10.12.23	Lorient - Olympique Marseille	2:4 ✺
03.12.23	Toulouse - Lorient	1:1 ✺
26.11.23	Lorient - Metz	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LLLTL

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 2
01.02.20	Sochaux - Lorient	0:4
16.08.19	Lorient - Sochaux	1:0
10.05.19	Lorient - Sochaux	0:0
22.12.18	Sochaux - Lorient	1:0
27.04.18	Sochaux - Lorient	0:2
08.12.17	Lorient - Sochaux	2:1
French Ligue 1
15.03.14	Sochaux - Lorient	2:0

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