Match Info

Ligue 1 - Round 31

Date: 26 April 2026, Sunday

Location: Stade du Moustoir (Lorient)

Referee: Millot B. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	CANAL+ Sport 2
Argentina	Disney+
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, TOD
Austria	DAZN
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 1
Brazil	Caze TV
Bulgaria	Nova Sport
Canada	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol
Chile	Disney+
China	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	Disney+
Croatia	Arena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay 3 Urheilu, Viaplay, V Sport Fotbool
France	DAZN France, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV
Germany	DAZN Deutsch
Hong-kong	beIN SPORTS MAX
Israel	5 SPORT Israel
Italy	Ligue 1+
Japan	DAZN Japan
Mexico	FOX One, FOX Sports
Netherlands	Viaplay
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean
Norway	TV2 Play, Viaplay
Peru	Disney+
Poland	Eleven Sports 4
Portugal	Sport TV7
Romania	Voyo
Russia	Okko Sport
South-korea	Coupang Play
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport Fotbool
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Turkey	beIN Connect
United-kingdom	Ligue 1+
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz
Venezuela	Disney+
World	Onefootball


	Lorient		Strasbourg

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.6	3.1	Watch
	2.15	3.6	3.2
	2.22	3.55	3.15
	2.26	3.66	3.22
	2.14	3.61	3.19	Watch
	2.15	3.4	3
	2.26	3.76	3.27	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.19 ↓ (2.84)	3.6 ↑ (3.43)	3.16 ↑ (2.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 1.4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Lorient
43.4%

Draw
26.5%

Strasbourg
30.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.3%

27.5%

39.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.4%

28.4%

37.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lorient has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lorient's performance.

Strasbourg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Strasbourg might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lorient than the current prediction. (-9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lorient that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Strasbourg than the current prediction. (+7.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Strasbourg could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
82%	14%	4%

Lorient - Strasbourg Predictions

Users Predictions: 49 users predict this event. Lorient will win (votes: 40 - 81.6%). Strasbourg will win (votes: 2 - 4.1%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 14.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lorient: 70.8% – 92.4%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Lorient will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
38. Mvogo Y. (G) 5. Meite B. 32. Adjei N. 25. Faye A. 77. Katseris P. 8. Cadiou N. 6. Abergel L. (C) 43. Kouassi A. 17. Makengo J. 10. Pagis P. 12. Dieng B.	39. Penders M. (G) 18. Mwanga J. 24. Hogsberg L. 6. Doukoure I. (C) 8. Oyedele M. 83. Luis R. 29. El Mourabet S. 80. Yassine G. 27. Amo-Ameyaw S. 11. Nanasi S. 19. Enciso J.
Substitutes
62. Avom A. 9. Bamba M. 2. Igor Silva 21. Kamara B. (G) 29. Karim D. 97. Siba S. 28. Soumano S. 15. Tosin A. 44. Yongwa D.	3. Chilwell B. 10. Emegha E. 15. Fofana D. D. 20. Godo M. 1. Johnsson K. (G) 7. Moreira D. 28. Noubissie T. 2. Omobamidele A. 42. Ouattara A.
Coaches
Pantaloni O.	O'Neil G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
25', Hogsberg L. 🟨,
26', 1 - 0, Cadiou N. ⚽, Katseris P. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 3)
54', 2 - 0, Pagis P. (Penalty Awarded),
62', 2 - 1, Nanasi S. ⚽, Luis R. (A),
65', O'Neil G. 🟨,
65', Doukoure I. ↓, Omobamidele A. ↑,
67', El Mourabet S. ↓, Ouattara A. ↑,
67', Enciso J. ↓, Godo M. ↑,
69', Dieng B. ↓, Tosin A. ↑,
70', Abergel L. ↓, Avom A. ↑,
71', Katseris P. 🟨,
73', Oyedele M. 🟨,
76', Mwanga J. ↓, Moreira D. ↑,
82', Makengo J. ↓, Soumano S. ↑,
82', Pagis P. ↓, Karim D. ↑,
85', Yassine G. ↓, Emegha E. ↑,
86', Katseris P. ↓, Igor Silva ↑,
90+2', 2 - 2, Adjei N. (Own goal),
90+9', 2 - 3, Omobamidele A. ⚽,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 9 and 8).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lorient won 2.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Lorient may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Strasbourg has had a series of home games.

Lorient will hold a modest advantage in this match.

There will not play in Lorient: Le Bris T. (Knee Injury) Talbi M. (Calf Injury) Toure I. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Strasbourg: Anselmino A. (Inactive) Panichelli J. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Strasbourg: Barco V. (Leg Injury) Doue G. (Inactive)

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Lorient won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:11. (average 1.2:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Lorient won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 6:4. (average 1.5:1).

Outrights of French Ligue 1 for now

Strasbourg: 0.64% Lorient: 0.35%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Strasbourg	5	2	1	2	10:10	0	7
12	Lorient	5	1	2	2	5:6	-1	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Lorient
French Ligue 1
18.04.26	Lorient - Olympique Marseille	2:0 ✺
12.04.26	Lyon - Lorient	2:0 ✺
05.04.26	Lorient - Paris FC	1:1 ✺
21.03.26	Toulouse - Lorient	1:0 ✺
14.03.26	Lorient - Lens	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.4 WLTLW
- RC Strasbourg
Coupe De France
22.04.26	Strasbourg - Nice	0:2 ✺
French Ligue 1
19.04.26	Strasbourg - Rennes	0:3 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
16.04.26	Strasbourg - Mainz	4:0 ✺
09.04.26	Mainz - Strasbourg	2:0 ✺
French Ligue 1
04.04.26	Strasbourg - Nice	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 1
14.12.25	Strasbourg - Lorient	0:0
18.02.24	Strasbourg - Lorient	1:3
17.12.23	Lorient - Strasbourg	1:2
03.06.23	Lorient - Strasbourg	2:1
13.11.22	Strasbourg - Lorient	1:1
20.03.22	Lorient - Strasbourg	0:0
31.10.21	Strasbourg - Lorient	4:0

Upcoming Matches