Match Info

Premier League - Round 12

Date: 19 October 2025, Sunday

Location: Fisht Olympic Stadium (Sochi)

Referee: Egorov E. (Rus)

Where to Watch on TV:


Belarus	Belarus 5
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 6
Croatia	Arena Sport 6, MAXtv To Go
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Russia	Match! Premier, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Serbia	Arena Sport 2


	Sochi		Zenit

	1	X	2
	8.23	5.01	1.4
	8.75	4.99	1.43	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	8.49 ↑ (7.63)	5 ↑ (4.87)	1.42 ↑ (1.39)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 1.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sochi
11.5%

Draw
19.5%

Zenit
69%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

12.4%

19.4%

68.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

12%

18.8%

70.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sochi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Zenit has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sochi than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zenit than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

Sochi - Zenit Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Zenit (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
99. Dyupin Y. (G) 82. Volkov S. 3. Soldatenkov A. 33. Marcelo Alves (C) 25. Attiyat Allah Y. 16. Mukhin M. 6. Saavedra I. 29. Ezhov R. 8. Ignatov M. 7. Zinkovskiy A. 45. Kamano F.	16. Adamov D. (G) 31. Gustavo Mantuan 33. Nino 28. Alip N. 3. Santos D. (C) 5. Barrios W. 8. Wendel 10. Glushenkov M. 20. Pedrinho 11. Luiz Henrique 30. Cassierra M.
Substitutes
5. Aberdin N. 59. Bart R. 35. Degtev A. (G) 9. Fedorov Z. 18. Korneev A. 19. Kovalenko A. 4. Litvinov V. 88. Lomaev I. (G) 28. Magal R. 17. Makarchuk A. 20. Vasiljev D. 27. Zaika K.	23. Adamov A. 6. Drkusic V. 21. Erokhin A. 9. Gerson 32. Gondou L. 41. Kerzhakov M. (G) 1. Latyshonok E. (G) 18. Mikhailov Y. 17. Mostovoy A. 51. Shilov V. 7. Sobolev A. 66. Vega R.
Coaches
Osinkin I.	Semak S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
12', 0 - 1, Alip N. ⚽,
29', Pedrinho 🟨,
39', Cassierra M. ↓, Gondou L. ↑,
45', Kamano F. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Mukhin M. ↓, Vasiljev D. ↑,
54', 0 - 2, Gustavo Mantuan (Pen),
73', Glushenkov M. ↓, Mostovoy A. ↑,
73', Gustavo Mantuan ↓, Drkusic V. ↑,
73', Ezhov R. ↓, Kovalenko A. ↑,
73', Ignatov M. ↓, Zaika K. ↑,
85', Kamano F. ↓, Fedorov Z. ↑,
85', Attiyat Allah Y. ↓, Makarchuk A. ↑,
86', 0 - 3, Mostovoy A. (Pen),
87', Luiz Henrique ↓, Sobolev A. ↑,
87', Pedrinho ↓, Gerson ↑,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ FNL and 4).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sochi won 0.

Sochi is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Zenit is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Zenit may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Zenit is the obvious favorite.

There will not play in Sochi: Meleshin P. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Zenit: Gerson (Hip Injury) Moskvichev B. (Knee Injury)

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Sochi won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 10:32. (average 0.8:2.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Sochi won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 3:9. (average 0.5:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Sochi
Russian Premier League
05.10.25	Sochi - Nizhny Novgorod	2:1 ✺
Russian Cup
01.10.25	Krylya Sovetov - Sochi	4:3 penalties ✺
Russian Premier League
28.09.25	Dynamo Makhachkala - Sochi	0:0 ✺
22.09.25	Sochi - CSKA Moscow	1:3 ✺
Russian Cup
17.09.25	Sochi - Dynamo Moscow	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WLTLL
- Zenit St Petersburg
Russian Premier League
04.10.25	Akron Tolyatti - Zenit	1:1 ✺
Russian Cup
30.09.25	Rubin Kazan - Zenit	0:1 ✺
Russian Premier League
27.09.25	Zenit - Orenburg	5:2 ✺
21.09.25	Krasnodar - Zenit	0:2 ✺
Russian Cup
17.09.25	Zenit - Akhmat Grozny	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 TWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
02.07.24	Zenit - Sochi	5:2
Russian Premier League
25.11.23	Zenit - Sochi	3:0
07.10.23	Sochi - Zenit	0:2
27.05.23	Sochi - Zenit	1:1
24.10.22	Zenit - Sochi	7:0
Club Friendly
25.06.22	Sochi - Zenit	1:2 penalties
Russian Premier League
03.04.22	Sochi - Zenit	0:0

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