Match Info

Premier League - Round 32

Date: 18 May 2025, Sunday


	Muranga Seal		Gor Mahia

	1	X	2
	6.4	3.75	1.48
	6.33	3.63	1.49
	6.45	3.75	1.5	Watch
	6.17	3.7	1.54
	6.4	3.75	1.48
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.35 ↑ (6.17)	3.72 ↑ (3.63)	1.5 ↓ (1.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Muranga Seal
14.4%

Draw
24.6%

Gor Mahia
61%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

14.7%

25%

60.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

14.4%

24.5%

61.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Muranga Seal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Gor Mahia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

The ML Model estimate for Muranga Seal aligns with the current prediction.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gor Mahia than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Muranga Seal - Gor Mahia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Premier League (Relegation) and 3).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Muranga may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Gor Mahia is seen as the favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Muranga won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:5. (average 1:1.7).

Including home match between the teams, Muranga won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Muranga Seal
Kenyan Premier League
14.05.25	Muranga Seal - Sofapaka	2:0 ✺
10.05.25	Tusker - Muranga Seal	2:0 ✺
04.05.25	Muranga Seal - Nairobi City Stars	1:0 ✺
Kenyan FKF Cup
01.05.25	Muranga Seal - Ulinzi Stars	3:2 ✺
Kenyan Premier League
26.04.25	Posta Rangers - Muranga Seal	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.4 WLWWL
- Gor Mahia
Kenyan Premier League
15.05.25	Gor Mahia - Nairobi City Stars	1:2 ✺
04.05.25	Shabana - Gor Mahia	0:1 ✺
Kenyan FKF Cup
01.05.25	Kariobangi Sharks - Gor Mahia	0:2 ✺
Kenyan Premier League
27.04.25	Gor Mahia - Mara Sugar	4:0 ✺
24.04.25	Gor Mahia - Talanta	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Kenyan Premier League
02.11.24	Gor Mahia - Muranga Seal	2:2
04.05.24	Muranga Seal - Gor Mahia	1:3
11.11.23	Gor Mahia - Muranga Seal	0:0

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