Match Info

Date: 29 October 2020, Thursday


	Sokol Saratov		Metallurg Lipetsk

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.9	3.6	3.4
	1.8	3.7	3.4
	1.9	3.4	3.25
	2.02	3.56	3.32
	1.94	3.54	3.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.91 ↓ (2.13)	3.56 ↑ (3.49)	3.36 ↑ (2.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sokol Saratov
47.5%

Draw
25.5%

Metallurg Lipetsk
27%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.8%

26%

31.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.4%

17.9%

45.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sokol Saratov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

Metallurg Lipetsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sokol Saratov than the current prediction. (-18.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sokol Saratov that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Metallurg Lipetsk than the current prediction. (+18.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Metallurg Lipetsk could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Sokol Saratov - Metallurg Lipetsk Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 3 and 2).

Sokol Saratov is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Metallurg Lipetsk is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Sokol Saratov will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Sokol Saratov won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Sokol Saratov won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sokol Saratov
Russian FNL 2 Group 3
23.10.20	Strogino Moskva - Sokol Saratov	3:2 ✺
17.10.20	Sokol Saratov - Salyut Belgorod	1:0 ✺
11.10.20	Krasnoye Znamya - Sokol Saratov	1:1 ✺
04.10.20	Sokol Saratov - Fakel Voronezh 2	1:0 ✺
27.09.20	Kaluga - Sokol Saratov	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 LWTWW
- FC Metallurg Lipetsk
Russian FNL 2 Group 3
24.10.20	Metallurg Lipetsk - Metallurg Vidnoe	7:0 ✺
18.10.20	Sakhalin - Metallurg Lipetsk	0:2 ✺
11.10.20	Metallurg Lipetsk - Khimki 2	4:0 ✺
04.10.20	Kvant Obninsk - Metallurg Lipetsk	1:2 ✺
27.09.20	Metallurg Lipetsk - Khimik-Arsenal Novomoskovsk	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Russian PFL Center
05.10.19	Sokol Saratov - Metallurg Lipetsk	0:1
26.05.19	Sokol Saratov - Metallurg Lipetsk	1:2
13.10.18	Metallurg Lipetsk - Sokol Saratov	1:1
21.04.18	Sokol Saratov - Metallurg Lipetsk	2:2
09.09.17	Metallurg Lipetsk - Sokol Saratov	0:1

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