Match Info

BRAZIL: CAMPEONATO PARAIBANO - ROUND 1

Date: 15 February 2023, Wednesday


	Sousa		Auto Esporte

	1	X	2
	1.36	4.2	7.25
	1.3	3.8	8.5
	1.32	4.01	9.63
	1.32	4.5	9.4
	1.35	4.2	7.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.33 ↑ (1.31)	4.14 ↓ (4.29)	8.48 ↓ (8.99)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sousa
67.7%

Draw
21.7%

Auto Esporte
10.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.9%

21%

10%

Our Initial ML Estimation

74.3%

19.5%

9.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sousa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Auto Esporte has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sousa than the current prediction. (+6.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sousa, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Auto Esporte than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

Sousa - Auto Esporte Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Campeonato Paraibano (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 10 in the zone Relegation).

Sousa is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Auto Esporte has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Sousa could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Sousa is certain favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Sousa won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7-0.

Including matches at home between the teams Sousa won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sousa
Brazilian Campeonato Paraibano
12.02.23	Sousa - Treze	1:0 ✺
09.02.23	Queimadense - Sousa	0:0 ✺
05.02.23	Nacional de Patos - Sousa	0:1 ✺
25.01.23	Sousa - Campinense	0:1 ✺
19.01.23	São Paulo Crystal - Sousa	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 WTWLW
- Auto Esporte Clube
Brazilian Campeonato Paraibano
30.01.23	Botafogo PB - Auto Esporte	2:0 ✺
24.01.23	Nacional de Patos - Auto Esporte	2:1 ✺
21.01.23	Auto Esporte - Centro Sportivo Paraibano	1:2 ✺
16.01.23	Treze - Auto Esporte	3:2 ✺
11.01.23	Auto Esporte - Queimadense	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Paraibano
06.04.22	Sousa - Auto Esporte	4:0
05.02.22	Auto Esporte - Sousa	0:3

Sousa - Auto Esporte: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide