Match Info

BRAZIL: COPA DO BRASIL - 1/64-FINALS

Date: 21 February 2024, Wednesday


	Sousa		Cruzeiro

	1	X	2
	7	3.6	1.5
	5.75	3.6	1.53
	6.5	3.75	1.53	Watch
	5.9	3.6	1.52
	6.45	4.19	1.5
	6	3.6	1.5
	6.33	3.82	1.55
	6	3.55	1.53
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.24 ↓ (8.13)	3.71 ↓ (4.53)	1.52 ↑ (1.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Sousa
14.7%

Draw
24.8%

Cruzeiro
60.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

11.3%

20.2%

68.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

10.8%

19.4%

71.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sousa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

Cruzeiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Cruzeiro might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sousa than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cruzeiro than the current prediction. (+11%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Cruzeiro could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	16.7%	50%

Sousa - Cruzeiro Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Sousa will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Cruzeiro will win (votes: 3 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

#ad

Preview

In case of a draw away team advances.

Recent matches Sousa is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Cruzeiro is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Sousa could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Cruzeiro is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sousa
Brazilian Campeonato Paraibano
17.02.24	Sousa - Campinense	3:0 ✺
06.02.24	Centro Sportivo Paraibano - Sousa	1:0 ✺
28.01.24	Sousa - Serra Branca	1:0 ✺
21.01.24	Nacional de Patos - Sousa	1:0 ✺
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
06.01.24	ABC - Sousa	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WLWLL
- Cruzeiro MG
Brazilian Campeonato Mineiro
18.02.24	Democrata GV - Cruzeiro	1:3 ✺
15.02.24	Cruzeiro - América Mineiro	0:2 ✺
09.02.24	Cruzeiro - Patrocinense	3:0 ✺
03.02.24	Atlético Mineiro - Cruzeiro	0:2 ✺
27.01.24	Cruzeiro - Athletic Club	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 WLWWT

Upcoming Matches