Match Info

Australian Championship - Play Offs - Final

Date: 5 December 2025, Friday 🏁 Finished

Location: Olympic Park Stadium (Melbourne) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Australia	15:00	SBS On Demand
Hong Kong	12:00	HOY TV


	South Melbourne		Marconi Stallions

	1	X	2
				Watch
				Watch
	1.84	3.6	4.27
	1.8	3.72	4.16	Watch
	1.73	3.5	3.8
	1.83	3.67	3.97	Watch
	1.81	3.6	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.8 ↑ (1.72)	3.62 ↓ (3.75)	4.08 ↓ (4.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

South Melbourne
51.6%

Draw
25.7%

Marconi Stallions
22.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

53.6%

24.6%

21.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.2%

23.5%

20.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

South Melbourne has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Marconi Stallions has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for South Melbourne than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marconi Stallions than the current prediction. (-2%)

South Melbourne - Marconi Stallions Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. South Melbourne (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
11', 1 - 0, Aguek M. ⚽,
20', 2 - 0, Jankovic M. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

South Melbourne is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Marconi Stallions is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Marconi Stallions may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, South Melbourne is considered a favorite.

We predict that South Melbourne will win today's game, with odds of 1.72.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- South Melbourne FC
Australian Championship
28.11.25	South Melbourne - Heidelberg United	1:0 ✺
22.11.25	South Melbourne - North West Sydney Spirit	2:0 ✺
14.11.25	Moreton City Excelsior - South Melbourne	3:3 ✺
07.11.25	South Melbourne - Broadmeadow Magic	2:0 ✺
01.11.25	Sydney Olympic - South Melbourne	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 WWTWW
- Marconi Stallions
Australian Championship
28.11.25	Marconi Stallions - Moreton City Excelsior	1:0 ✺
21.11.25	Wests APIA - Marconi Stallions	1:2 penalties ✺
14.11.25	Wollongong Wolves - Marconi Stallions	5:0 ✺
08.11.25	South Hobart - Marconi Stallions	0:2 ✺
31.10.25	Marconi Stallions - Heidelberg United	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WWLWT

South Melbourne - Marconi Stallions: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide

Match Info

Current Win Probability

South Melbourne - Marconi Stallions Predictions

Key Events of the Match

Preview

Form

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