Match Info

Championship - Round 2

Date: 22 August 2026, Saturday

Location: St. Mary's Stadium (Southampton)

Referee: Martin S. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
Iceland	Viaplay
Netherlands	Viaplay
Norway	TV2 Play, Viaplay
Sweden	Viaplay
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Southampton		Stoke City

	1	X	2
	1.56	4	5	Watch
	1.58	4.33	5.25
	1.61	4.02	5.36	Watch
	1.66	4.3	4.98
	1.62	4.12	5.24	Watch
	1.64	4.25	4.95
	1.67	4.17	5.21	Watch
	1.63	4.1	4.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.62 ↓ (1.71)	4.16 ↑ (4.02)	5.1 ↑ (4.29)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Southampton
58.6%

Draw
22.8%

Stoke City
18.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.9%

23.3%

21.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Southampton has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

Stoke City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
76.5%	17.6%	5.9%

Southampton - Stoke City Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. S`hampton will win (votes: 13 - 76.5%). Stoke will win (votes: 1 - 5.9%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 17.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for S`hampton: 56.3% – 96.7%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Southampton will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Peretz D. (G) 14. Bree J. 15. Wood N. 5. Stephens J. (C) 3. Manning R. 4. Downes F. 27. Matsuki K. 18. Fellows T. 10. Azaz F. 7. Scienza L. 9. Larin C.	1. Johansson V. (C) 2. Johnson B. 16. Wilmot B. 23. Gibson B. 17. Bocat E. 27. Soumare D. 8. Galbraith E. 20. Gallagher S. 10. Bae Jun-Ho 7. Thomas S. 15. Hirst G.
Substitutes
29. Akachukwu R. 19. Archer C. 26. Bragg C. 11. Dobbin L. 23. Edozie S. 25. Long G. (G) 28. Mubama D. 17. Quarshie J. 34. Welington	9. Bozenik R. 52. Giani L. 5. Graham L. 24. Griffiths J. (G) 6. Ingelsson S. 42. Manhoef M. 4. Pearson B. 19. Rigo T. 40. Talovierov M.
Coaches
Eckert T.	Robins M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
8', 1 - 0, Larin C. ⚽, Downes F. (A),
19', Bree J. 🟨,
26', 1 - 1, Galbraith E. ⚽, Gallagher S. (A),
38', Gallagher S. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
50', Downes F. 🟨,
53', Manning R. 🟨,
62', Galbraith E. 🟨,
62', Hirst G. ↓, Bozenik R. ↑,
70', Gallagher S. ↓, Ingelsson S. ↑,
78', Larin C. ↓, Mubama D. ↑,
78', Scienza L. ↓, Dobbin L. ↑,
81', Soumare D. ↓, Rigo T. ↑,
81', Bocat E. ↓, Talovierov M. ↑,
82', Talovierov M. 🟨,
86', Ingelsson S. 🟨,
89', 2 - 1, Mubama D. ⚽, Azaz F. (A),
90', Fellows T. ↓, Edozie S. ↑,
90+3', Ingelsson S. 🟨,
90+4', 3 - 1, Manning R. (Penalty Awarded),
90+5', Azaz F. ↓, Akachukwu R. ↑,
90+5', Matsuki K. ↓, Bragg C. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, S`hampton won 3.

Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.

Recently, S`hampton has had a series of away games.

Recently, Stoke has had a series of home games.

In this match, S`hampton is considered a favorite.

There will not play in Stoke: Ampah A. (Hamstring Injury) Cresswell A. (Injury) Tchamadeu J. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in S`hampton: Jander C. (Lacking Match Fitness)

We predict that S`hampton will win today's game, with odds of 1.6.

In the last 18 head-to-head matches, S`hampton won 6 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 22:21. (average 1.2:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, S`hampton won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 8:10. (average 0.9:1.1).

Outrights of English League Championship for now

Southampton: 10.29%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Stoke	9	5	1	3	15:13	2	16
11	Southampton	9	5	2	2	20:10	10	13

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Southampton FC
English League Championship
16.08.26	Watford - Southampton	2:1 ✺
English League Cup
08.08.26	Colchester United - Southampton	0:2 ✺
Club Friendly
01.08.26	Preußen Münster - Southampton	1:2 ✺
24.07.26	Eintracht Braunschweig - Southampton	0:1 ✺
18.07.26	Eastleigh - Southampton	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 LWWWW
- Stoke City
English League Championship
15.08.26	Stoke City - Swansea City	1:2 ✺
English League Cup
08.08.26	Stoke City - Oldham Athletic	2:0 ✺
Club Friendly
01.08.26	Stoke City - Valencia	1:1 ✺
28.07.26	Stoke City - Everton	1:0 ✺
21.07.26	Chester - Stoke City	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.3 LWTWW

Latest Head to Head

English League Championship
31.01.26	Stoke City - Southampton	0:2
23.08.25	Southampton - Stoke City	1:2
English League Cup
29.10.24	Southampton - Stoke City	3:2
English League Championship
27.04.24	Southampton - Stoke City	0:1
03.10.23	Stoke City - Southampton	0:1
English Premier League
03.03.18	Southampton - Stoke City	0:0
30.09.17	Stoke City - Southampton	2:1

Upcoming Matches