Match Info

Championship - Round 1

Date: 15 August 2026, Saturday

Location: Bet365 Stadium (Stoke on Trent)

Referee: Langford O. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


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Usa	Paramount+, SportsEngine Play


	Stoke City		Swansea City

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.4	3.1	Watch
	2.30	3.40	2.95
	2.33	3.31	3.07	Watch
	2.36	3.51	3.25
	2.34	3.34	3.07	Watch
	2.35	3.45	3.05
	2.25	3.47	3.37	Watch
	2.3	3.3	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.31 ↓ (2.38)	3.4 ↑ (3.27)	3.12 ↑ (2.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 1.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stoke City
41.3%

Draw
28.1%

Swansea City
30.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.3%

28.7%

32%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stoke City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Swansea City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Stoke City - Swansea City Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Johansson V. (C) 16. Wilmot B. 18. Lawal B. 5. Graham L. 17. Bocat E. 8. Galbraith E. 6. Ingelsson S. 42. Manhoef M. 19. Rigo T. 7. Thomas S. 20. Gallagher S.	22. Vigouroux L. (G) 26. Lissah F. 5. Cabango B. (C) 23. Welsh S. 14. Tymon J. 4. Fulton J. 6. Stamenic M. 30. Opoku J. 8. Just E. 49. Yeo M. K. 9. Vipotnik Z.
Substitutes
43. Anderson F. 10. Bae Jun-Ho 9. Bozenik R. 23. Gibson B. 24. Griffiths J. (G) 58. Martin T. 4. Pearson B. 27. Soumare D. 40. Talovierov M.	10. Eom Ji-Sung 1. Fisher A. (G) 50. Heywood C. 33. Idah A. 2. Key J. 20. Parente T. 35. Ronald 21. Walta L. 7. Widell M.
Coaches
Robins M.	Emanuel Soares Matos V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
10', 1 - 0, Bocat E. ⚽, Rigo T. (A),
23', 1 - 1, Opoku J. ⚽, Vipotnik Z. (A),
36', Graham L. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Lawal B. ↓, Talovierov M. ↑,
53', Lissah F. 🟨,
55', Lissah F. ↓, Key J. ↑,
65', Yeo M. K. ↓, Eom Ji-Sung ↑,
65', Vipotnik Z. ↓, Idah A. ↑,
65', Just E. ↓, Widell M. ↑,
66', 1 - 2, Idah A. ⚽, Tymon J. (A),
70', Gallagher S. ↓, Bozenik R. ↑,
70', Rigo T. ↓, Bae Jun-Ho ↑,
70', Ingelsson S. ↓, Soumare D. ↑,
84', Fulton J. ↓, Walta L. ↑,
86', Widell M. 🟨,
90+1', Tymon J. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Stoke won 2.

Stoke is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

In recent matches, Swansea has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Recently, Swansea has had a series of home games.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

There will not play in Stoke: Ampah A. (Hamstring Injury) Talovierov M. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Swansea: Burgess C. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Franco G. (Injury)

There are questionable in Stoke: Tchamadeu J. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Swansea: Stewart R. (Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Stoke won 11 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 30:24. (average 1.5:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Stoke won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 19:8. (average 1.9:0.8).

Outrights of English League Championship for now

Swansea: 5.14%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Swansea	9	6	2	1	15:7	8	20
4	Stoke	9	5	1	3	15:13	2	16

Last Results with these Odds

Swansea City - the odds 2.92 are the expected chance of winning is 32.05%, but this team recently wins 46% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stoke City
English League Cup
08.08.26	Stoke City - Oldham Athletic	2:0 ✺
Club Friendly
01.08.26	Stoke City - Valencia	1:1 ✺
28.07.26	Stoke City - Everton	1:0 ✺
21.07.26	Chester - Stoke City	0:1 ✺
18.07.26	Crewe Alexandra - Stoke City	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.3 WTWWT
- Swansea City
English League Cup
08.08.26	Swansea City - Birmingham City	0:1 ✺
Club Friendly
01.08.26	Swansea City - Leganés	1:0 ✺
24.07.26	Swansea City - Udinese	2:0 ✺
21.07.26	Swansea City - Bochum	0:2 ✺
18.07.26	Swansea City - Holstein Kiel	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 LWWLT

Latest Head to Head

English League Championship
07.03.26	Swansea City - Stoke City	2:0
13.12.25	Stoke City - Swansea City	2:1
15.02.25	Stoke City - Swansea City	3:1
05.10.24	Swansea City - Stoke City	0:0
10.04.24	Swansea City - Stoke City	3:0
12.12.23	Stoke City - Swansea City	1:1
21.02.23	Swansea City - Stoke City	1:3

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