Match Info

Date: 10 January 2021, Sunday


	Cheltenham Town		Mansfield Town

	1	X	2
	2.3	3.4	3.1	Watch
	2.25	3.4	3
	2.35	3.45	3.1	Watch
	2.34	3.25	3
	2.38	3.29	3.12
	2.35	3.25	3.1	Watch
	2.36	3.35	3.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.33 ↑ (2.25)	3.34 ↓ (3.41)	3.07 ↓ (3.13)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cheltenham Town
40.7%

Draw
28.4%

Mansfield Town
30.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.1%

27.7%

30.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30%

19.7%

42.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cheltenham Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Mansfield Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cheltenham Town than the current prediction. (-10.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Cheltenham Town that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mansfield Town than the current prediction. (+11.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Mansfield Town could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Cheltenham Town - Mansfield Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Cheltenham is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Mansfield is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Cheltenham could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Cheltenham will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 13 head-to-head matches Cheltenham won 4 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 19-14.

Including matches at home between the teams Cheltenham won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cheltenham Town
English League Two
29.12.20	Colchester United - Cheltenham Town	0:0 ✺
26.12.20	Cheltenham Town - Stevenage Borough	1:1 ✺
19.12.20	Barrow - Cheltenham Town	3:0 ✺
15.12.20	Cheltenham Town - Bolton Wanderers	0:1 ✺
12.12.20	Salford City - Cheltenham Town	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 TTLLT
- Mansfield Town
English League Two
05.01.21	Mansfield Town - Salford City	2:1 ✺
02.01.21	Mansfield Town - Port Vale	4:0 ✺
26.12.20	Scunthorpe United - Mansfield Town	2:3 ✺
19.12.20	Mansfield Town - Southend United	1:1 ✺
15.12.20	Carlisle United - Mansfield Town	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 WWWTL

Latest Head to Head

English League Two
24.10.20	Cheltenham Town - Mansfield Town	0:0
22.02.20	Cheltenham Town - Mansfield Town	1:0
07.12.19	Mansfield Town - Cheltenham Town	0:3
02.03.19	Mansfield Town - Cheltenham Town	4:2
03.11.18	Cheltenham Town - Mansfield Town	2:2
20.01.18	Mansfield Town - Cheltenham Town	3:2
26.09.17	Cheltenham Town - Mansfield Town	3:0

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