Match Info

Date: 29 December 2020, Tuesday


	Leyton Orient		Southend United

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.5	4.2
	1.85	3.4	4.25
	1.8	3.7	4.4
	1.88	3.3	4
	1.93	3.55	4.32
	1.85	3.4	4
	1.94	3.6	4.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.87 ↑ (1.77)	3.49 ↓ (3.66)	4.21 ↓ (4.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Leyton Orient
50.5%

Draw
27.1%

Southend United
22.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.5%

25.8%

20.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.5%

16.6%

32.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leyton Orient has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

Southend United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leyton Orient than the current prediction. (-16%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Leyton Orient that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Southend United than the current prediction. (+9.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Southend United could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
56%	20%	24%

Leyton Orient - Southend United Predictions

Users Predictions: 25 users predict this event. Leyton Orient will win (votes: 14 - 56%). Southend will win (votes: 6 - 24%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Leyton Orient: 36.5% – 75.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 12 and 23 in the zone Relegation).

Leyton Orient has a very small chance of relegated (1%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (18%), has a small chance of promoted (11%), has a very small chance of win league (1%).

Southend has a chance of relegated (38%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Leyton Orient is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Southend is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Leyton Orient is a favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Leyton Orient won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Leyton Orient won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Leyton Orient
English League Two
26.12.20	Cambridge United - Leyton Orient	2:1 ✺
19.12.20	Leyton Orient - Crawley Town	1:2 ✺
15.12.20	Morecambe - Leyton Orient	2:1 ✺
12.12.20	Leyton Orient - Newport County	2:1 ✺
English EFL Trophy
08.12.20	Leyton Orient - Bristol Rovers	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LLLWL
- Southend United
English League Two
26.12.20	Southend United - Colchester United	2:0 ✺
19.12.20	Mansfield Town - Southend United	1:1 ✺
15.12.20	Southend United - Grimsby Town	3:1 ✺
12.12.20	Southend United - Scunthorpe United	1:0 ✺
05.12.20	Stevenage Borough - Southend United	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.7 WTWWT

Latest Head to Head

English EFL Trophy
03.09.19	Leyton Orient - Southend United	2:0
Club Friendly
28.07.18	Leyton Orient - Southend United	2:2
English EFL Trophy
04.10.16	Southend United - Leyton Orient	1:0
20.02.13	Southend United - Leyton Orient	2:2
05.02.13	Leyton Orient - Southend United	0:1

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