The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Scunthorpe United 12.4%
Draw 21.5%
Mansfield Town 66.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
18.4%
24.3%
57.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
18.4%
24.3%
57.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Scunthorpe United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Scunthorpe United's form might have worsened.
Mansfield Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Mansfield Town's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Scunthorpe United than the current prediction. (+6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Scunthorpe United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mansfield Town than the current prediction. (-8.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Mansfield Town, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Scunthorpe United - Mansfield Town Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Preview
This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 24 in the zone Relegation and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs)).
Scunthorpe has the most likely position - 24 (99.87%), has project points - 28, has currently - 24, has a very good chance of relegated (>99%), has not chance of prom. playoffs.
Mansfield has the most likely position - 3 (20.22%), has project points - 78, has currently - 66, has not chance of relegated, has a good chance of prom. playoffs (56%), has a chance of promoted (41%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
This event has very small quality6, importance38, small match rating22. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Last 5 head-to-head matches Scunthorpe won 0.
Scunthorpe has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Mansfield is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Mansfield could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
Recently Mansfield have a series of guest games.
In this match Mansfield is the unquestionable favorite.
Our prediction for today's Mansfield to win the game is with odds 1.43.
Last 8 head-to-head matches Scunthorpe won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 10-16.
Including matches at home between the teams Scunthorpe won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5-5.
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