Match Info

ENGLAND: FA Trophy - 1/16-finals

Date: 4 January 2025, Saturday

Location: Roots Hall (Southend on Sea)


	Southend United		Southport

	1	X	2
	1.58	4	4.33
	1.61	4.2	4.5
	1.6	4.38	4.58	Watch
	1.6	3.9	4.75
	1.55	4.25	4.93
	1.61	4.2	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.59 ↑ (1.39)	4.16 ↓ (4.58)	4.6 ↓ (6.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Southend United
57.8%

Draw
22.2%

Southport
20%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.5%

20.2%

13.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.7%

19.3%

12.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Southend United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Southend United's form might have worsened.

Southport has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Southport's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Southend United than the current prediction. (+11.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Southend United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Southport than the current prediction. (-7.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Southport, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Southend United - Southport Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
58', 1 - 0, Appiah-Forson K. ⚽,

Preview

Southend is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Southport is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recently Southport have a series of home games.

In this match Southend is absolute favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Southend United
English National League
01.01.25	Braintree Town - Southend United	0:1 ✺
26.12.24	Southend United - Ebbsfleet United	4:0 ✺
21.12.24	York City - Southend United	3:0 ✺
14.12.24	Southend United - Hartlepool United	0:0 ✺
English FA Trophy
07.12.24	Brentwood Town - Southend United	3:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WWLTW
- Southport
English National League North
01.01.25	Chester - Southport	0:0 ✺
26.12.24	Southport - Warrington Town	2:0 ✺
21.12.24	Kidderminster Harriers - Southport	2:0 ✺
14.12.24	Southport - Needham Market	0:0 ✺
English FA Trophy
10.12.24	Southport - Peterborough Sports	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 TWLTW

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