Match Info

ENGLAND: National League North - Round 21

Date: 14 December 2024, Saturday


	Southport		Needham Market

	1	X	2
	1.65	3.5	4.5
	1.66	3.5	4.33
	1.7	3.6	4.75	Watch
	1.72	3.62	4.52
	1.73	3.67	4.65
	1.73	3.5	4.6
	1.68	3.7	4.61
	1.7	3.6	4.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.7 ↑ (1.6)	3.59 ↓ (3.7)	4.59 ↓ (5.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Southport
54.3%

Draw
25.7%

Needham Market
20.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.6%

24.9%

17.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.4%

24.6%

17.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Southport has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

Needham Market has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Southport than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Needham Market than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

Southport - Needham Market Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 14 and 23 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Southport is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Needham is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Needham could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Southport is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Southport won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Southport
English FA Trophy
10.12.24	Southport - Peterborough Sports	2:1 ✺
English National League North
30.11.24	Southport - Marine	0:0 ✺
26.11.24	Curzon Ashton - Southport	1:0 ✺
23.11.24	King`s Lynn Town - Southport	1:0 ✺
English FA Trophy
16.11.24	Southport - Warrington Town	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 WTLLW
- Needham Market
English National League North
30.11.24	Needham Market - Scarborough Athletic	1:1 ✺
26.11.24	Leamington - Needham Market	0:1 ✺
23.11.24	Marine - Needham Market	2:0 ✺
English FA Trophy
16.11.24	Alfreton Town - Needham Market	3:2 ✺
English National League North
09.11.24	Needham Market - Chester	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 TWLLL

Latest Head to Head

English National League North
17.08.24	Needham Market - Southport	1:2

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