Match Info

ENGLAND: NATIONAL LEAGUE NORTH - ROUND 39

Date: 18 March 2023, Saturday


	Southport		Kettering Town

	1	X	2
	1.77	3.4	3.8
	1.8	3.3	4
	1.83	3.56	4.25
	1.8	3.4	4
	1.82	3.52	4.15
	1.82	3.4	3.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.81 ↑ (1.77)	3.43 ↑ (3.4)	4.01 ↓ (4.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Southport
50.6%

Draw
26.6%

Kettering Town
22.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.6%

26.9%

21.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.9%

28.1%

20.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Southport has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Kettering Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Southport than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kettering Town than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

Southport - Kettering Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 16 and 20).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Southport won 1.

Southport is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Kettering is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Southport is a favorite.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Southport won 1 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Southport won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Southport
English National League North
14.03.23	Southport - Boston United	1:1 ✺
07.03.23	Southport - Blyth Spartans	2:1 ✺
04.03.23	Brackley Town - Southport	1:0 ✺
25.02.23	Southport - Hereford	0:1 ✺
18.02.23	Buxton - Southport	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 TWLLL
- Kettering Town
English National League North
11.03.23	Kettering Town - Chorley	3:3 ✺
07.03.23	Gloucester City - Kettering Town	2:0 ✺
04.03.23	Hereford - Kettering Town	1:0 ✺
28.02.23	Kettering Town - Curzon Ashton	1:0 ✺
25.02.23	Kettering Town - Brackley Town	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.7 TLLWW

Latest Head to Head

English National League North
26.11.22	Kettering Town - Southport	0:0
02.04.22	Southport - Kettering Town	0:1
01.02.22	Kettering Town - Southport	2:1
03.11.20	Kettering Town - Southport	0:1
31.08.19	Southport - Kettering Town	1:1
English National League
13.03.12	Southport - Kettering Town	N/A

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