Match Info

Date: 19 March 2022, Saturday


	Southport		York City

	1	X	2
	2.7	3	2.37
	2.8	3.15	2.3
	2.9	3.1	2.32
	2.99	3.12	2.36
	2.6	3.1	2.55
	2.98	3.14	2.34
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.83 ↑ (2.64)	3.1 ↓ (3.23)	2.37 ↓ (2.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Southport
32.2%

Draw
29.4%

York City
38.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.6%

28.3%

37%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.2%

20.6%

50.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Southport has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

York City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Southport than the current prediction. (-7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Southport that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for York City than the current prediction. (+12.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that York City could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Southport - York City Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ National League North (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ National League North (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Southport won 0.

Recent matches Southport is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

York is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Southport could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Southport won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 13-21.

Including matches at home between the teams Southport won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 6-8.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Southport
English National League North
12.03.22	Chorley - Southport	2:1 ✺
05.03.22	Southport - Brackley Town	0:0 ✺
26.02.22	Hereford - Southport	0:1 ✺
22.02.22	Southport - Blyth Spartans	2:3 ✺
15.02.22	Southport - Curzon Ashton	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 LTWLT
- York City
English National League North
15.03.22	York City - Curzon Ashton	0:0 ✺
English FA Trophy
12.03.22	Dagenham & Redbridge - York City	1:2 penalties ✺
English National League North
08.03.22	York City - Darlington	3:1 ✺
05.03.22	Hereford - York City	1:1 ✺
01.03.22	Fylde - York City	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21 TWWTW

Latest Head to Head

English National League North
09.10.21	York City - Southport	3:1
10.11.20	Southport - York City	2:3
04.01.20	Southport - York City	0:2
07.09.19	York City - Southport	1:1
06.04.19	York City - Southport	1:0
13.10.18	Southport - York City	1:2
27.03.18	York City - Southport	3:2

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