Match Info

Date: 5 March 2022, Saturday


	Hereford		York City

	1	X	2
	2.8	3.2	2.2
	3	3.1	2.2
	2.9	3.25	2.24
	3.01	3.13	2.42
	2.3	3.1	2.9
	2.91	3.3	2.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.82 ↑ (2.28)	3.18 ↓ (3.28)	2.38 ↓ (2.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hereford
32.5%

Draw
28.9%

York City
38.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.2%

27.9%

32%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28%

19.4%

46%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hereford has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Hereford's form might have worsened.

York City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting York City's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hereford than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for York City than the current prediction. (+7.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that York City could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Hereford - York City Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 8 and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ National League North (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Hereford won 3.

Recent matches Hereford is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

York in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Hereford could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Hereford won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 10-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Hereford won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hereford FC
English National League North
26.02.22	Hereford - Southport	0:1 ✺
22.02.22	Curzon Ashton - Hereford	3:0 ✺
19.02.22	Chester - Hereford	2:3 ✺
15.02.22	Kidderminster Harriers - Hereford	3:0 ✺
12.02.22	Hereford - Guiseley	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LLWLW
- York City
English National League North
01.03.22	Fylde - York City	0:2 ✺
26.02.22	York City - Guiseley	3:0 ✺
15.02.22	York City - AFC Telford United	3:1 ✺
English FA Trophy
12.02.22	York City - Morpeth Town	3:2 ✺
English National League North
09.02.22	Bradford Park Avenue - York City	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.5 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

English National League North
28.09.21	York City - Hereford	0:1
03.03.20	York City - Hereford	1:4
03.12.19	Hereford - York City	2:2
05.02.19	York City - Hereford	1:2
01.09.18	Hereford - York City	1:1

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