Match Info

Southern League Premier Central - Round 42

Date: 25 April 2026, Saturday


	Worcester City		Spalding United

	1	X	2
	2.3	3.45	2.58
	2.36	3.16	2.68
	2.42	3.47	2.72	Watch
	2.3	3.3	2.5
	2.35	3.22	2.66
	2.26	3.54	2.63
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.33 ↑ (2.17)	3.36 ↓ (3.7)	2.63 ↓ (2.91)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Worcester City
38.7%

Draw
26.9%

Spalding United
34.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.9%

25.1%

32%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.1%

24.4%

31.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Worcester City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

Spalding United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Worcester City than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Worcester City, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Spalding United than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

Worcester City - Spalding United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
31', 0 - 1, Pugh ⚽,
42', 0 - 2, Cybulski B. ⚽,
2nd Half (4 - 2)
48', 1 - 2, Stoddart L. ⚽,
58', 1 - 3, Roberts A. ⚽,
71', 2 - 3, Guinan Z. ⚽,
73', 2 - 4, Cybulski B. ⚽,
75', 3 - 4, Lutz C. ⚽,
84', 4 - 4, Wise C. ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 9 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Southern League Premier Central (Play Offs: )).

Spalding is Qualified for Southern League Premier Central (Play Offs )

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Worcester won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.

Outrights of English Southern League Central Division for now

Worcester: 0.39%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
17	Worcester	9	1	4	4	7:12	-5	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Worcester City
English Southern League Central Division
18.04.26	Worcester City - St Ives Town	2:2 ✺
11.04.26	Kettering Town - Worcester City	2:1 ✺
06.04.26	Worcester City - Redditch United	3:1 ✺
03.04.26	Bury Town - Worcester City	1:1 ✺
28.03.26	Worcester City - Needham Market	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 TLWTW
- Spalding United
English Southern League Central Division
18.04.26	Leiston - Spalding United	2:2 ✺
11.04.26	Spalding United - Stratford Town	1:3 ✺
06.04.26	Barwell - Spalding United	0:2 ✺
03.04.26	Spalding United - Stourbridge	3:1 ✺
28.03.26	Spalding United - Bromsgrove Sporting	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 TLWWL

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League Central Division
13.12.25	Spalding United - Worcester City	2:2

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