Match Info

Date: 15 October 2026, Thursday


	Sparta Prague		Lillestrøm SK

	1	X	2
	1.33	5.00	7.00
	1.36	5.25	8.00
	1.33	5.20	9.00
	1.37	5.25	7.72
	1.38	5.1	7.6	Watch
	1.34	5.40	7.80
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.35 ↓ (1.38)	5.2 ↑ (5.1)	7.85 ↑ (7.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sparta Prague
69.8%

Draw
18.2%

Lillestrøm SK
12%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.9%

18.6%

12.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72.2%

17.7%

11.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sparta Prague has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Lillestrøm SK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sparta Prague than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lillestrøm SK than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	0%

Sparta Prague - Lillestrøm SK Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Sparta Prague arrives with excellent momentum after picking up several victories (last 5 matches: 5 wins).

Lillestrøm has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

In this match, Sparta Prague enters as the overwhelming favorite.

Our forecast points to a victory for Sparta Prague in today's match, at odds of 1.38.

These two teams have no recorded direct encounters in recent history.

Outrights of UEFA Europa League for now

Sparta Prague: 1.07% Lillestrom: 0.24%

Standings

League phase

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Sparta Prague	1	1	0	0	4:1	3	3
24	Lillestrom	1	0	0	1	1:2	-1	0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AC Sparta Prague
Club Friendly
02.10.26	Sparta Prague - Vysočina Jihlava	5:3 ✺
Czech 1 Liga
20.09.26	Sigma Olomouc - Sparta Prague	0:3 ✺
UEFA Europa League
16.09.26	Ararat-Armenia - Sparta Prague	1:4 ✺
Czech 1 Liga
12.09.26	Sparta Prague - Jablonec	2:0 ✺
Czech Cup
09.09.26	Viktoria Žižkov - Sparta Prague	0:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 WWWWW
- Lillestrøm SK
Norwegian NM Cup
01.10.26	Bærum - Lillestrøm SK	1:5 ✺
Norwegian Eliteserien
20.09.26	Viking Stavanger - Lillestrøm SK	3:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
17.09.26	Lillestrøm SK - Torreense	1:2 ✺
Norwegian Eliteserien
12.09.26	Lillestrøm SK - Vålerenga	2:0 ✺
05.09.26	Brann - Lillestrøm SK	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 WLLWW

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