Match Info

FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1 - Round 28

Date: 17 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Spartak Nalchik		Chayka 2

	1	X	2
	1.49	4.65	5.16
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.49 ↓ (1.67)	4.65 ↑ (4)	5.16 ↑ (4.13)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Spartak Nalchik
62.1%

Draw
19.9%

Chayka 2
17.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

54.9%

22.9%

22.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.6%

22.2%

21.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Spartak Nalchik has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Spartak Nalchik's performance.

Chayka 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Spartak Nalchik than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Spartak Nalchik that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chayka 2 than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
2', 1 - 0, Tutov I. ⚽,
38', 1 - 1, Terekhov A. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
52', 2 - 1, Gubzhokov I. ⚽,
75', Kuzmin E. 🟥,
87', Goguzokov A. 🟨,

Preview

A clash between a stable mid-table side and a team seeking crucial survival points (ranked 9th and 13th).

Both teams have experienced an unpredictable run of results lately.

Recently, Spartak N has faced a series of away games on the road.

Bookmakers give the edge to Spartak N for this game.

In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Spartak N has recorded 0 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 1:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Spartak Nalchik	27	10	7	10	37:32	5	37
13	FK Chayka 2	28	6	2	20	30:66	-36	20

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Spartak Nalchik
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 1
10.10.26	Shakhtyor Taganrog - Spartak Nalchik	1:0 ✺
03.10.26	Spartak Nalchik - Astrakhan	2:1 ✺
26.09.26	Pobeda Khasavyurt - Spartak Nalchik	4:3 ✺
19.09.26	Druzhba Maykop - Spartak Nalchik	2:1 ✺
12.09.26	Angust Nazran - Spartak Nalchik	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 LWLLW
- Chayka Peschanokopskoye 2
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 1
10.10.26	Chayka 2 - Angust Nazran	5:3 ✺
03.10.26	Rubin Yalta - Chayka 2	4:0 ✺
26.09.26	Chayka 2 - Kyzyltash	3:1 ✺
19.09.26	Chayka 2 - Zarya	1:5 ✺
12.09.26	Shakhtyor Taganrog - Chayka 2	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 1
11.04.26	Chayka 2 - Spartak Nalchik	1:1

Spartak Nalchik - Chayka 2