Match Info

EUROPE: EUROPA CONFERENCE LEAGUE - QUALIFICATION - SEMI-FINALS

Date: 17 August 2023, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: City Arena Trnava (Trnava) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Grado C. S. (Esp)


	Spartak Trnava		Lech Poznań

	1	X	2
	3	3.6	2.05	Watch
	3.25	3.3	2.05
	3.5	3.35	2.1
	3.3	3.4	2.12
	3.5	3.4	2.09
	3.5	3.52	2.04	Watch
	3.25	3.65	2.17
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.33 ↓ (3.6)	3.46 ↓ (3.5)	2.09 ↑ (2.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Spartak Trnava
28.1%

Draw
27.1%

Lech Poznań
44.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

26.4%

27.2%

46.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.3%

27.1%

46.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Spartak Trnava has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

Lech Poznań has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Spartak Trnava than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lech Poznań than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
2.8%	5.6%	91.7%

Spartak Trnava - Lech Poznań Predictions

Users Predictions: Lech Poznań will win (33 of 36 users predict this - 91.67%).
Confidence interval (95%): 82.64% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
71. Takac D. (G) 2. Stetina L. 4. Gorosito N. 26. Kosa S. 24. Kostrna K. 97. Ofori K. 80. Zeljkovic A. 6. Prochazka R. (C) 29. Mikovic M. 7. Djuricin M. 23. Daniel E.	35. Bednarek F. (G) 2. Pereira J. 23. Blazic M. 16. Milic A. 5. Andersson E. 6. Karlstrom J. 21. Hotic D. 22. Murawski R. 10. Marchwinski F. 11. Velde K. 9. Ishak M. (C)
Substitutes
11. Azango P. 25. Bainovic F. 28. Bukata M. 5. Kompan M. 20. Oseni A. 14. Pena R. 19. Ristovski M. 31. Rusov D. (G) 8. Stefanik S. 18. Sulek M. 72. Vantruba M. (G)	50. Ba Loua A. 44. Czerwinski A. 25. Dagerstal F. 15. Gurgul M. 30. Kvekveskiri N. 41. Mrozek B. (G) 55. Pingot M. 33. Pruchniewski M. (G) 90. Sobiech A. 7. Sousa A. 17. Szymczak F. 54. Wilak F.
Coaches
Gasparik M.	van den Brom J.

Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 1-2.

Recent matches Trnava is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Lech is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Lech will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Trnava won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Spartak Trnava
UEFA Europa Conference League
10.08.23	Lech Poznań - Spartak Trnava	2:1 ✺
Slovak Superliga
06.08.23	Zlaté Moravce-Vrable - Spartak Trnava	1:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
03.08.23	Spartak Trnava - Auda Riga	4:1 ✺
Slovak Superliga
30.07.23	Spartak Trnava - Trenčín	1:2 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
27.07.23	Auda Riga - Spartak Trnava	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 LTWLT
- Lech Poznań
UEFA Europa Conference League
10.08.23	Lech Poznań - Spartak Trnava	2:1 ✺
Polish Ekstraklasa
06.08.23	Zagłębie Lubin - Lech Poznań	1:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
03.08.23	Kauno Žalgiris - Lech Poznań	1:2 ✺
Polish Ekstraklasa
30.07.23	Lech Poznań - Radomiak Radom	2:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
27.07.23	Lech Poznań - Kauno Žalgiris	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WTWWW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa Conference League
10.08.23	Lech Poznań - Spartak Trnava	2:1

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