Match Info

SCOTLAND: Challenge Cup - 1/16-finals

Date: 7 September 2024, Saturday

Location: Ainslie Park (Edinburgh)


	Spartans		Livingston

	1	X	2
	5	4.33	1.48
	5	4	1.49
	5.5	4.33	1.52
	5.37	4.28	1.5
	5	4.5	1.53
	5.62	4.2	1.51
	5.5	4.33	1.52
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.28 ↑ (5.05)	4.28 ↓ (4.33)	1.51 ↑ (1.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Spartans
17.4%

Draw
21.5%

Livingston
61.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18.1%

21.1%

60.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.4%

20.8%

59.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Spartans has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Livingston has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Spartans than the current prediction. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Livingston than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

Spartans - Livingston Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 2)
65', 0 - 1, May S. ⚽, Montano C. (A),
81', 0 - 2, Smith L. ⚽, Winter A. (A),

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Spartans FC
Scottish League Two
31.08.24	Stirling Albion - Spartans	1:0 ✺
24.08.24	Spartans - Peterhead	0:0 ✺
Scottish League Cup
17.08.24	Spartans - Ross County	1:0 ✺
Scottish League Two
10.08.24	Spartans - Bonnyrigg Rose	2:0 ✺
03.08.24	Stranraer - Spartans	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.8 LTWWT
- Livingston FC
Scottish Football Championship
31.08.24	Raith Rovers - Livingston	0:1 ✺
24.08.24	Livingston - Greenock Morton	1:1 ✺
09.08.24	Queens Park - Livingston	1:1 ✺
03.08.24	Livingston - Dunfermline Athletic	2:0 ✺
Scottish League Cup
27.07.24	Livingston - Spartans	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 WTTWL

Latest Head to Head

Scottish League Cup
27.07.24	Livingston - Spartans	0:1
Club Friendly
29.06.24	Spartans - Livingston	0:0

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