Match Info

Date: 11 August 2020, Tuesday


	Spezia		Chievo

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.2	4.2	Watch
	2	3.2	3.9
	2	3.2	4	Watch
	1.94	3.1	4
	2	3.34	4.18
	1.95	3.2	4.33
	1.99	3.08	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.98 ↑ (1.84)	3.19 ↑ (3.18)	4.16 ↓ (4.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Spezia
47.7%

Draw
29.6%

Chievo
22.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.6%

29.4%

20%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31%

18%

32.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Spezia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

Chievo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Spezia than the current prediction. (-16.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Spezia that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chievo than the current prediction. (+9.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Chievo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
39.1%	39.1%	21.7%

Spezia - Chievo Predictions

Users Predictions: 46 users predict this event. Spezia will win (votes: 18 - 39.1%). Chievo will win (votes: 10 - 21.7%). It will Tie (votes: 18 - 39.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Spezia: 25% – 53.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 0-2.

Spezia has not chance of relegated, was already of prom. playoffs, has a chance of promoted (33%), has not chance of win league.

Chievo has not chance of relegated, was already of prom. playoffs, has a chance of promoted (38%), has not chance of win league.

Recent matches Spezia is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Chievo is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Chievo could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Chievo have a series of home games.

In this match Spezia is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Spezia won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Spezia won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Spezia Calcio
Italian Serie B
08.08.20	Chievo - Spezia	2:0 ✺
31.07.20	Salernitana - Spezia	1:2 ✺
27.07.20	Spezia - Virtus Entella	0:0 ✺
24.07.20	Cremonese - Spezia	0:0 ✺
17.07.20	Spezia - Venezia	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 LWTTL
- AC Chievo
Italian Serie B
08.08.20	Chievo - Spezia	2:0 ✺
04.08.20	Chievo - Empoli	1:1 ET ✺
31.07.20	Chievo - Pescara	1:0 ✺
27.07.20	Benevento - Chievo	0:1 ✺
24.07.20	Chievo - Cittadella	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.8 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
08.08.20	Chievo - Spezia	2:0
26.06.20	Chievo - Spezia	1:3
01.11.19	Spezia - Chievo	0:0

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