Match Info

Serie B - Round 23

Date: 7 February 2026, Saturday

Location: Stadio Alberto Picco (La Spezia)

Referee: Ayroldi G. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	DAZN Italia, LAB Channel
World	Onefootball


	Spezia		Virtus Entella

	1	X	2
	2.2	2.75	3.75	Watch
	2.18	2.88	3.65	Watch
	2.27	2.94	3.92
	2.14	3.06	3.71	Watch
	2.15	3	3.3
	2.22	2.88	3.71	Watch
	2.16	2.83	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.19 ↓ (2.25)	2.91 ↑ (2.85)	3.72 ↑ (3.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Spezia
42.7%

Draw
32.2%

Virtus Entella
25.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.5%

32.8%

25.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.2%

31.5%

24.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Spezia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Virtus Entella has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Spezia than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Virtus Entella than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
43.7%	50%	6.2%

Spezia - Virtus Entella Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Spezia will win (votes: 7 - 43.8%). Virtus Entella will win (votes: 1 - 6.3%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 25.5% – 74.5%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Radunovic B. (G) 4. Ruggero M. 55. Hristov P. (C) 11. Beruatto P. 17. Sernicola L. 60. Romano A. 29. Cassata F. 5. Valoti M. 31. Aurelio G. 9. Artistico G. 20. Di Serio G.	1. Colombi S. (G) 23. Parodi L. (C) 15. Marconi I. 3. Alborghetti M. 94. Mezzoni F. 5. Squizzato N. 8. Karic N. 26. Di Mario S. 11. Guiu B. 24. Franzoni A. 10. Cuppone L.
Substitutes
70. Adamo E. 24. Bertoncini A. 94. Bonfanti G. 34. Comotto C. 77. Lorenzelli E. 16. Loria L. (G) 12. Mascardi D. (G) 37. Mateju A. 8. Nagy A. 14. Skjellerup L. 32. Vignali L.	7. Bariti D. 32. Benedetti L. 27. Dalla Vecchia M. 19. Debenedetti A. 22. Del Frate F. (G) 57. Del Lungo T. 4. Nichetti M. 38. Pilati A. 99. Siaulys O. (G) 98. Tirelli M. 46. Turicchia R.
Coaches
Donadoni R.	Chiappella A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
2', Marconi I. 🟨,
18', 1 - 0, Artistico G. ⚽, Valoti M. (A),
24', Cassata F. 🟨,
24', Squizzato N. 🟨,
30', 1 - 1, Cuppone L. ⚽, Guiu B. (A),
33', Guiu B. 🟥,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
49', Cassata F. ↓, Comotto C. ↑,
50', Ruggero M. ↓, Adamo E. ↑,
60', Beruatto P. 🟨,
63', Di Serio G. ↓, Skjellerup L. ↑,
67', Squizzato N. ↓, Dalla Vecchia M. ↑,
73', Cuppone L. ↓, Tirelli M. ↑,
78', Dalla Vecchia M. 🟨,
90', Di Mario S. ↓, Turicchia R. ↑,
90', Mezzoni F. ↓, Del Lungo T. ↑,
90+1', Karic N. ↓, Nichetti M. ↑,

Preview

In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 17 in the zone Serie B (Play Out: ) and 16 in the zone Serie B (Play Out: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Spezia won 3.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Spezia might have a minor edge in this game.

There will not play in Spezia: Lapadula G. (Inactive) Sarr M. (Ankle Injury) Vlahovic V. (Red Card) Zurkowski S. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Virtus Entella: Boccadamo A. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Spezia: Bandinelli F. (Injury) Mateju A. (Injury)

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Spezia won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 10:6. (average 0.9:0.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Spezia won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:1. (average 1:0.2).

Outrights of Italian Serie B for now

Entella: 0.33%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
14	Entella	6	1	3	2	8:7	1	6

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Spezia Calcio
Italian Serie B
31.01.26	Sampdoria - Spezia	1:0 ✺
24.01.26	Spezia - Avellino	1:0 ✺
18.01.26	Palermo - Spezia	1:0 ✺
10.01.26	Südtirol-Alto Adige - Spezia	2:1 ✺
27.12.25	Spezia - Pescara	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LWLLW
- Virtus Entella
Italian Serie B
31.01.26	Virtus Entella - Frosinone	1:1 ✺
24.01.26	Juve Stabia - Virtus Entella	1:0 ✺
16.01.26	Sampdoria - Virtus Entella	1:1 ✺
10.01.26	Virtus Entella - Monza	1:0 ✺
27.12.25	Venezia - Virtus Entella	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 TLTWL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
08.12.25	Virtus Entella - Spezia	0:1
27.07.20	Spezia - Virtus Entella	0:0
26.12.19	Virtus Entella - Spezia	0:0
05.02.18	Virtus Entella - Spezia	0:1
09.09.17	Spezia - Virtus Entella	2:1
22.04.17	Spezia - Virtus Entella	2:0
25.11.16	Virtus Entella - Spezia	1:1

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