Match Info

Serie B - Round 18

Date: 27 December 2025, Saturday

Location: Stadio Alberto Picco (La Spezia)

Referee: Zanotti A. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Israel	5 PLUS Israel
Italy	DAZN Italia, LAB Channel
Russia	Telekanal Futbol
Usa	Fox Soccer Plus, Fox
World	Onefootball


	Spezia		Pescara

	1	X	2
	1.79	3.7	4	Watch
	1.68	3.7	4.8
	1.88	3.5	3.8	Watch
	1.98	3.47	3.71	Watch
	1.85	3.4	3.8
	1.9	3.46	3.97	Watch
	1.88	3.5	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.85 ↑ (1.66)	3.53 ↓ (3.62)	4.01 ↓ (5.21)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Spezia
50.4%

Draw
26.4%

Pescara
23.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.3%

25.8%

17.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42%

19.2%

24%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Spezia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Spezia's form might have worsened.

Pescara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Pescara's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Spezia than the current prediction. (-8.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Spezia that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pescara than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
61.9%	23.8%	14.3%

Spezia - Pescara Predictions

Users Predictions: 21 users predict this event. Spezia will win (votes: 13 - 61.9%). Pescara will win (votes: 3 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 23.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Spezia: 41.1% – 82.7%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Spezia (votes: 2 - 40%). Tie (votes: 3 - 60%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Pescara (2.78) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH +0.5 - Pescara (1.89) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Spezia (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Pescara (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Tie (votes: 3 - 42.9%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Mascardi D. (G) 2. Wisniewski P. 55. Hristov P. (C) 31. Aurelio G. 32. Vignali L. 25. Bandinelli F. 80. Kouda R. 29. Cassata F. 11. Beruatto P. 20. Di Serio G. 27. Soleri E.	1. Desplanches S. (G) 2. Capellini R. 13. Brosco R. (C) 26. Gravillon A. 16. Corazza T. 27. Olzer G. 8. Dagasso M. 14. Valzania L. 3. Letizia G. 9. Di Nardo A. 15. Tonin R.
Substitutes
9. Artistico G. 23. Candela A. 36. Candelari P. 34. Comotto C. 6. Fellipe Jack 10. Lapadula G. 16. Loria L. (G) 37. Mateju A. 8. Nagy A. 26. Onofri M. 7. Verde D. 99. Vlahovic V.	36. Berardi L. 5. Brandes J. 21. Caligara F. 11. Cangiano G. 95. Corbo G. 35. Giannini D. 17. Okwonkwo O. 12. Profeta N. (G) 22. Saio I. (G) 18. Sgarbi L. 6. Squizzato N. 31. Vinciguerra A.
Coaches
Donadoni R.	Gorgone G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
8', 1 - 0, Di Serio G. ⚽, Cassata F. (A),
20', Bandinelli F. ↓, Comotto C. ↑,
20', Kouda R. 🟨,
23', Capellini R. 🟨,
45+7', 1 - 1, Dagasso M. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Brosco R. ↓, Sgarbi L. ↑,
55', Dagasso M. ↓, Caligara F. ↑,
56', Valzania L. 🟨,
68', Tonin R. ↓, Cangiano G. ↑,
69', Soleri E. ↓, Artistico G. ↑,
69', Di Serio G. ↓, Vlahovic V. ↑,
81', Kouda R. ↓, Verde D. ↑,
85', Olzer G. ↓, Squizzato N. ↑,
90+3', 2 - 1, Artistico G. ⚽,
90+7', Caligara F. 🟨,

Preview

This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 20 in the zone Relegation).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Spezia won 2.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

In this match, Spezia is considered a favorite.

There will not play in Spezia: Aurelio G. (Inactive) Esposito Sa. (Yellow Cards) Sarr M. (Ankle Injury) Zurkowski S. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Pescara: Faraoni D. (Inactive) Giannini D. (Inactive) Kraja E. (Inactive) Merola D. (Thigh Injury) Oliveri A. (Muscle Injury) Pellacani F. (Knee Injury) Tsadjout F. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Spezia: Comotto C. (Illness)

There are questionable in Pescara: Squizzato N. (Injury)

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Spezia won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 21:17. (average 1.6:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Spezia won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 12:7. (average 1.7:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Spezia Calcio
Italian Serie B
20.12.25	Frosinone - Spezia	2:1 ✺
13.12.25	Spezia - Modena	0:2 ✺
08.12.25	Virtus Entella - Spezia	0:1 ✺
30.11.25	Spezia - Sampdoria	1:0 ✺
23.11.25	Mantova - Spezia	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 LLWWL
- Pescara
Italian Serie B
20.12.25	Pescara - Reggiana	2:1 ✺
14.12.25	Pescara - Frosinone	1:2 ✺
08.12.25	Bari - Pescara	1:1 ✺
29.11.25	Pescara - Padova	0:1 ✺
21.11.25	Catanzaro - Pescara	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.2 WLTLT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
04.03.20	Spezia - Pescara	2:0
19.10.19	Pescara - Spezia	1:2
03.03.19	Pescara - Spezia	2:0
19.10.18	Spezia - Pescara	1:3
22.04.18	Pescara - Spezia	3:2
25.11.17	Spezia - Pescara	4:0
19.04.16	Spezia - Pescara	0:1

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