Match Info

Serie B - Round 13

Date: 23 November 2025, Sunday

Location: Stadio Danilo Martelli (Mantova)

Referee: Dionisi F. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	DAZN Italia, LAB Channel
World	Onefootball


	Mantova		Spezia

	1	X	2
	2.32	3.2	2.95	Watch
	2.38	3.05	2.98	Watch
	2.79	3.15	2.73
	2.71	3.05	2.67	Watch
	2.43	3.28	3.08	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.53 ↓ (2.71)	3.15 ↑ (3.05)	2.88 ↑ (2.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mantova
37.3%

Draw
30%

Spezia
32.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.4%

30.6%

35%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.9%

29.3%

33.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mantova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

Spezia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mantova than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Spezia than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
6.2%	50%	43.7%

Mantova - Spezia Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Mantova will win (votes: 1 - 6.3%). Spezia will win (votes: 7 - 43.8%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 25.5% – 74.5%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Spezia (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 4 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Festa M. (C) 17. Radaelli N. 29. Cella S. 27. Castellini A. 6. Bani C. 10. Wieser D. 8. Artioli F. 21. Trimboli S. 14. Galuppini F. 9. Mancuso L. 19. Ruocco F.	12. Mascardi D. (G) 32. Vignali L. (C) 2. Wisniewski P. 6. Fellipe Jack 31. Aurelio G. 23. Candela A. 37. Mateju A. 29. Cassata F. 8. Nagy A. 99. Vlahovic V. 20. Di Serio G.
Substitutes
22. Andrenacci L. (G) 99. Bonfanti N. 28. Caprini M. 18. Falletti C. 20. Fedel G. 11. Fiori A. 96. Maggioni T. 37. Majer Z. 23. Marras T. 7. Mensah D. 36. Paoletti F. 53. Pittino T.	9. Artistico G. 25. Bandinelli F. 11. Beruatto P. 36. Candelari P. 15. Cistana A. 34. Comotto C. 18. Conte G. 55. Hristov P. 77. Lorenzelli E. 16. Loria L. (G) 26. Onofri M. 1. Sarr M. (G)
Coaches
Possanzini D.	Donadoni R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
4', 0 - 1, Aurelio G. ⚽,
10', Cassata F. 🟨,
21', Di Serio G. 🟨,
33', 1 - 1, Ruocco F. ⚽,
33', Wisniewski P. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
46', Nagy A. ↓, Comotto C. ↑,
53', Cella S. 🟨,
58', 2 - 1, Cella S. ⚽, Artioli F. (A),
59', Fellipe Jack ↓, Cistana A. ↑,
59', Vignali L. ↓, Bandinelli F. ↑,
60', Galuppini F. ↓, Marras T. ↑,
60', Mancuso L. ↓, Mensah D. ↑,
69', Di Serio G. ↓, Artistico G. ↑,
69', Candela A. ↓, Beruatto P. ↑,
78', Ruocco F. ↓, Caprini M. ↑,
78', Castellini A. ↓, Maggioni T. ↑,
81', 3 - 1, Marras T. ⚽, Trimboli S. (A),
84', Bandinelli F. 🟨,
85', Wieser D. ↓, Paoletti F. ↑,
87', Bani C. 🟨,
90+2', 4 - 1, Marras T. ⚽, Trimboli S. (A),
90+3', Cassata F. 🟨,

Preview

This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 17 in the zone Serie B (Play Out: ) and 19 in the zone Relegation).

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

There will not play in Mantova: Mantovani V. (Calf Injury)

There will not play in Spezia: Bandinelli F. (Broken Leg) Comotto C. (Injury) Esposito Sa. (Inactive) Kouda R. (Red Card) Onofri M. (Inactive) Zurkowski S. (Injury)

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Mantova won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:3. (average 1.5:1.5).

Including home match between the teams, Mantova won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.

Last Results with these Odds

Spezia - the odds 2.67 are the expected chance of winning is 34.96%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mantova FC
Italian Serie B
08.11.25	Mantova - Padova	1:0 ✺
02.11.25	Sampdoria - Mantova	0:1 ✺
29.10.25	Mantova - Catanzaro	1:3 ✺
26.10.25	Bari - Mantova	1:0 ✺
18.10.25	Mantova - Südtirol-Alto Adige	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 WWLLT
- Spezia Calcio
Italian Serie B
07.11.25	Spezia - Bari	1:1 ✺
02.11.25	Monza - Spezia	1:0 ✺
29.10.25	Spezia - Padova	1:1 ✺
25.10.25	Avellino - Spezia	0:4 ✺
18.10.25	Spezia - Cesena	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 TLTWL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
13.04.25	Mantova - Spezia	2:2
26.12.24	Spezia - Mantova	1:1

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