Match Info

Serie B - Round 17

Date: 20 December 2025, Saturday

Location: Stadio Benito Stirpe (Frosinone)

Referee: Piccinini M. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	DAZN Italia, LAB Channel
World	Onefootball


	Frosinone		Spezia

	1	X	2
	1.81	3.6	4	Watch
	1.88	3.45	3.85	Watch
	1.96	3.55	4.2
	1.88	3.55	4.01	Watch
	1.91	3.4	3.8
	1.88	3.65	4.06	Watch
	1.88	3.5	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.89 ↓ (2.03)	3.53 ↑ (3.48)	3.99 ↑ (3.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Frosinone
49.8%

Draw
26.6%

Spezia
23.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46%

26.8%

27.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.7%

25.3%

25.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Frosinone has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

Spezia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Frosinone than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Spezia than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
77.3%	13.6%	9.1%

Frosinone - Spezia Predictions

Users Predictions: 22 users predict this event. Frosinone will win (votes: 17 - 77.3%). Spezia will win (votes: 2 - 9.1%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 13.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Frosinone: 59.8% – 94.8%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -2 - Frosinone (5.76) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 0.5, 1st Half - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.75 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

EH -1 - Frosinone (3.42) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Frosinone (1.39) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Frosinone will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Frosinone (votes: 7 - 87.5%). Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Palmisani L. (G) 2. Cittadini G. 3. Calvani G. 30. Monterisi I. (C) 79. Bracaglia G. 14. Calo G. 8. Koutsoupias I. 16. Cichella M. 7. Ghedjemis F. 9. Raimondo A. 17. Kvernadze G.	12. Mascardi D. (G) 2. Wisniewski P. 55. Hristov P. (C) 15. Cistana A. 32. Vignali L. 25. Bandinelli F. 29. Cassata F. 8. Nagy A. 11. Beruatto P. 9. Artistico G. 27. Soleri E.
Substitutes
99. Barcella K. 4. Biraschi D. 19. Corrado N. 10. Gelli F. 18. Grosso F. 92. Kone B. L. 5. Marchizza R. 32. Masciangelo E. 75. Pisseri M. (G) 1. Sherri A. (G) 90. Vergani E. 28. Zilli M.	23. Candela A. 36. Candelari P. 20. Di Serio G. 5. Esposito Sa. 85. Guidi S. (G) 80. Kouda R. 10. Lapadula G. 16. Loria L. (G) 37. Mateju A. 26. Onofri M. 7. Verde D. 99. Vlahovic V.
Coaches
Alvini M.	Donadoni R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
16', 1 - 0, Bracaglia G. ⚽, Monterisi I. (A),
36', Raimondo A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
49', Bracaglia G. 🟨,
59', Nagy A. ↓, Esposito Sa. ↑,
60', Hristov P. ↓, Candela A. ↑,
62', Raimondo A. ↓, Zilli M. ↑,
62', Cichella M. ↓, Gelli F. ↑,
70', Soleri E. ↓, Di Serio G. ↑,
71', Artistico G. ↓, Vlahovic V. ↑,
73', 2 - 0, Ghedjemis F. ⚽, Calo G. (A),
75', Di Serio G. 🟨,
75', Bracaglia G. ↓, Marchizza R. ↑,
80', Cassata F. ↓, Lapadula G. ↑,
84', Kvernadze G. ↓, Biraschi D. ↑,
84', Calo G. ↓, Barcella K. ↑,
90+1', Esposito Sa. 🟨,
90+3', 2 - 1, Beruatto P. ⚽, Vlahovic V. (A),

Preview

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A and 17 in the zone Serie B (Play Out: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Frosinone won 2.

Frosinone has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Spezia has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Frosinone is considered a favorite.

There will not play in Frosinone: Gori L. (Knee Injury) Oyono J. (International duty) Selvini A. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Spezia: Fellipe Jack (Red Card) Sarr M. (Ankle Injury) Zurkowski S. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Spezia: Aurelio G. (Inactive)

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Frosinone won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 12:14. (average 0.9:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Frosinone won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:7. (average 1.1:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Frosinone Calcio
Italian Serie B
14.12.25	Pescara - Frosinone	1:2 ✺
08.12.25	Frosinone - Juve Stabia	3:0 ✺
29.11.25	Reggiana - Frosinone	0:1 ✺
22.11.25	Bari - Frosinone	2:3 ✺
08.11.25	Frosinone - Modena	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 WWWWT
- Spezia Calcio
Italian Serie B
13.12.25	Spezia - Modena	0:2 ✺
08.12.25	Virtus Entella - Spezia	0:1 ✺
30.11.25	Spezia - Sampdoria	1:0 ✺
23.11.25	Mantova - Spezia	4:1 ✺
07.11.25	Spezia - Bari	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 LWWLT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
25.04.25	Frosinone - Spezia	2:2
24.08.24	Spezia - Frosinone	2:1
20.08.20	Spezia - Frosinone	0:1
16.08.20	Frosinone - Spezia	0:1
03.07.20	Frosinone - Spezia	2:1
24.11.19	Spezia - Frosinone	2:0
14.04.18	Frosinone - Spezia	1:1

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