Match Info

Liga 1 - Apertura - Round 17

Date: 30 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Miguel Grau (Callao)

Where to Watch on TV:


Peru	Movistar TV App
Usa	Fanatiz


	Sport Boys		Comerciantes Unidos

	1	X	2
	1.9	3.2	4.2	Watch
	1.95	3.05	4.3	Watch
	1.91	3.3	4.45
	1.93	3.11	4.46	Watch
	1.91	3.1	4
	1.87	3.13	4.6	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.91 ↑ (1.74)	3.15 ↓ (3.38)	4.34 ↓ (5.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Sport Boys
48.8%

Draw
29.6%

Comerciantes Unidos
21.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.7%

27.7%

18.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.4%

27.3%

18.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sport Boys has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

Comerciantes Unidos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sport Boys than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sport Boys, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Comerciantes Unidos than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Sport Boys - Comerciantes Unidos Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Sport Boys will win (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Melian D. (G) 17. Saba E. 3. Zambrano C. 4. Alfani R. 13. Llontop M. 8. Da Campo N. (C) 24. Mora O. 7. Lopez C. 47. Trauco M. 11. Urruti L. 9. Nequecaur L.	17. Cordova M. (G) 16. F. Rojas 40. Alcedo F. 30. Guzman P. 6. Rodriguez J. 15. Cossio A. 11. Herrera J. 18. Rodriguez A. 4. Arias A. 25. Vilca R. 9. Sen M. (C)
Substitutes
35. Alvarado D. 14. Diaz R. 23. Gonzales J. 5. Illanes F. 30. Liza P. 36. Paz N. 1. Rivadeneyra S. (G) 80. Torres J. 20. Vasquez A.	10. Carpio Ferro M. P. 99. Charun J. (G) 19. Lino D. 50. Olivares J. 20. Parodi J. 13. Perez Azambuya E. M. 28. Pinto O. 14. Salinas T. 3. Vasquez C.
Coaches
Desio C.	Morales D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
56', Zambrano C. 🟨,
64', Herrera J. ↓, Pinto O. ↑,
66', Urruti L. ↓, Liza P. ↑,
66', Mora O. ↓, Vasquez A. ↑,
79', Trauco M. ↓, Illanes F. ↑,
79', Nequecaur L. ↓, Diaz R. ↑,
84', Rodriguez A. 🟨,
84', Llontop M. 🟨,
86', 1 - 0, Lopez C. ⚽,
87', Lopez C. 🟨,
88', Rodriguez J. 🟨,
89', Rodriguez A. ↓, Salinas T. ↑,
90+1', Alcedo F. ↓, Perez Azambuya E. M. ↑,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 14 and 9).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sport Boys won 1.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

In this match, Sport Boys is seen as the favorite.

There will not play in Sport Boys: Alarcon J. (Red Card) Solis L. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Sport Boys: Dulanto G. (Injury)

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Sport Boys won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:6. (average 1.3:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Sport Boys won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 0.8:0.8).

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Sport Boys	10	5	3	2	14:7	7	18
14	Comerciantes Unidos	11	2	4	5	18:19	-1	10

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sport Boys Association
Peruvian Liga 1
23.05.26	Cajamarca - Sport Boys	0:0 ✺
16.05.26	Sport Boys - Cusco	1:0 ✺
11.05.26	Sport Boys - Universitario de Deportes	0:0 ✺
02.05.26	Cajamarca - Sport Boys	3:2 ✺
25.04.26	Sport Boys - Juan Pablo II College	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 TWTLT
- Comerciantes Unidos
Peruvian Liga 1
25.05.26	Comerciantes Unidos - Deportivo Garcilaso	0:0 ✺
17.05.26	ADT Tarma - Comerciantes Unidos	2:0 ✺
10.05.26	Comerciantes Unidos - FBC Melgar	1:1 ✺
02.05.26	Cienciano - Comerciantes Unidos	1:0 ✺
25.04.26	Comerciantes Unidos - Sporting Cristal	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 TLTLW

Latest Head to Head

Peruvian Liga 1
13.09.25	Sport Boys - Comerciantes Unidos	0:1
13.04.25	Comerciantes Unidos - Sport Boys	0:4
24.10.24	Comerciantes Unidos - Sport Boys	0:0
11.05.24	Sport Boys - Comerciantes Unidos	1:1
Peruvian Copa Bicentenario
28.06.19	Sport Boys - Comerciantes Unidos	0:0
Peruvian Liga 1
25.09.18	Comerciantes Unidos - Sport Boys	3:2
06.06.18	Sport Boys - Comerciantes Unidos	2:1

Upcoming Matches