The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Cajamarca 54.8%
Draw 25.3%
Sport Boys 19.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
45.5%
28.2%
26.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
46.6%
28.9%
25.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cajamarca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Cajamarca's performance.
Sport Boys has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sport Boys might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cajamarca than the current prediction. (-8.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Cajamarca that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sport Boys than the current prediction. (+5.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sport Boys could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
77.8%
22.2%
0%
Cajamarca - Sport Boys Predictions
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Cajamarca will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Confidence interval (95%) for Cajamarca: 50.6% – 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
29. Barrios I. (C) 17. Garro L. 3. Ganoza M. 2. Duarte B. 13. Caro D. 27. Serra P. 16. Figuera A. 22. Camacho D. 10. Lliuya M. 19. Munoz A. 11. Arroyo A.
22. Melian D. (G) 17. Saba E. 3. Zambrano C. 4. Alfani R. 13. Llontop M. 8. Da Campo N. (C) 24. Mora O. 7. Lopez C. 47. Trauco M. 11. Urruti L. 9. Nequecaur L.
Substitutes
88. Arce L. 21. Bettocchi R. (G) 6. Cavagna F. 9. de Jesus M. 8. Dioses D. 5. Huerto J. 7. Nunez J. 35. Paredes G. 14. Rasmussen M.
10. Alarcon J. 14. Diaz R. 28. Gonzales E. 5. Illanes F. 29. Loyola N. 36. Paz N. 1. Rivadeneyra S. (G) 80. Torres J. 20. Vasquez A.
Coaches
Arevalo E.
Desio C.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
29', Figuera A. 🟨,
40', Camacho D. 🟨,
43', Camacho D. 🟥,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Caro D. ↓, Huerto J. ↑,
53', Saba E. 🟨,
64', Arroyo A. ↓, de Jesus M. ↑,
64', Zambrano C. ↓, Torres J. ↑,
74', Garro L. ↓, Paredes G. ↑,
79', Trauco M. 🟨,
81', Llontop M. ↓, Alarcon J. ↑,
82', Serra P. ↓, Rasmussen M. ↑,
82', Lliuya M. ↓, Arce L. ↑,
89', Urruti L. ↓, Diaz R. ↑,
89', Saba E. ↓, Gonzales E. ↑,
Preview
The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 13 and 14)
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cajamarca won 0.
Cajamarca has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Sport Boys has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Cajamarca may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Cajamarca is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
There will not play in Sport Boys: Riojas H.
(Yellow Cards)
Solis L.
(Knee Injury)
There are questionable in Cajamarca: Medina J.
(Broken Hand)
There are questionable in Sport Boys: Dulanto G.
(Injury)
In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Cajamarca won 5 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 20:24. (average 1.3:1.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Cajamarca won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 14:10. (average 1.6:1.1).
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Barrios I. (C) 
Garro L. 
Duarte B. 
Figuera A. 
Camacho D. 
Munoz A. 
Arroyo A. 
Saba E. 
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