The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Sport Recife 57.5%
Draw 25.3%
América Mineiro 17.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
52.5%
26.8%
20.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
53.6%
26.3%
20.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sport Recife has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)
América Mineiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sport Recife than the current prediction. (-3.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for América Mineiro than the current prediction. (+3.2%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
87.5%
12.5%
0%
Sport Recife - América Mineiro Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
DNB - Recife (1.25) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Sport Recife will win
(7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%). Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Recife (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
26. Thiago Couto (G) 27. Claudinho 3. Marcelo Ajul 33. Kayky Almeida 96. Edson Lucas 23. Ze Gabriel (C) 29. Willian Oliveira 8. Juan Alano 20. Diego Hernandez 25. Clayson 9. Pedro Perotti
91. Bruno Brigido (G) 31. Fabio 45. Ricardo Silva (C) 4. Rafa Barcelos 25. Ostchega T. 8. Felipe Amaral 37. Julio Cesar 88. Gustavo Barreto 9. Willian Bigode 7. Guilherme Parede 99. Marcelo Macola
Substitutes
75. Arthur Maron 68. Augusto 5. Benevenuto 6. Biel Fonseca 21. Brenno (G) 10. de Pena Carlos 77. Dudu 28. Habraao 31. Marlon Douglas 15. Murilo Rhikman 48. Pedro Martins 99. Ze Roberto
15. Alex Silva 5. Elizari F. 1. Gustavo (G) 13. Heitor 39. Italo G. 93. Jorge Jimenez 30. Montes L. 55. Otavio Goncalves 38. Rodrigues M. 3. Sosa L.
Coaches
Gilmar Pozzo
Umberto Louzer
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
13', 1 - 0, Claudinho ⚽, Juan Alano (A),
45+2', 2 - 0, Clayson ⚽, Juan Alano (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
65', Felipe Amaral ↓, Otavio Goncalves ↑,
66', Guilherme Parede ↓, Italo G. ↑,
67', Clayson ↓, Marlon Douglas ↑,
76', Willian Oliveira ↓, Biel Fonseca ↑,
76', Diego Hernandez ↓, Dudu ↑,
78', Willian Bigode ↓, Alex Silva ↑,
82', Juan Alano ↓, de Pena Carlos ↑,
83', Claudinho ↓, Augusto ↑,
87', Gustavo Barreto ↓, Heitor ↑,
87', Fabio ↓, Rodrigues M. ↑,
90+7', 3 - 0, Pedro Perotti (Penalty Awarded),
Preview
This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 8 and 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Recife won 1.
In recent matches, Recife has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
América MG is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
In this match, Recife is a strong favorite.
There will not play in Recife: Chrystian Barletta
(Injury)
Fabio Matheus
(Ankle Injury)
There will not play in América MG: Ale
(Injury)
Cassio Meneses
(Knee Injury)
Eduardo Person
(Inactive)
Emerson Santos
(Injury)
Gabriel Domingos
(Injury)
Paulo Victor
(Yellow Cards)
Segovia M.
(Injury)
In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Recife won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 11:25. (average 0.8:1.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Recife won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 5:12. (average 0.8:2).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
8
Sport Recife
32
13
11
8
44:34
10
50
19
America MG
32
4
5
23
21:53
-32
17
Last Results with these Odds
América Mineiro - the odds 4.44 are the expected chance of winning is 20.76%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.
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