The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+
Current Win Probability
Chapecoense 30.1%
Draw 32.2%
Sport Recife 37.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
29.1%
30.9%
40%
Our Initial ML Estimation
28.3%
30.1%
41.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Chapecoense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)
Sport Recife has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chapecoense than the current prediction. (-1.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sport Recife than the current prediction. (+3.4%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
31.2%
25%
43.7%
Chapecoense - Sport Recife Predictions
Users Predictions:
16 users predict this event. Chapecoense will win (votes: 5 - 31.3%). Recife will win (votes: 7 - 43.8%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 25%). Confidence interval (95%) for Recife: 19.5% – 68.1%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
#ad
Lineups
Starting Lineups
26. Matheus Cavichioli (G) 57. JP Galvao 33. Bruno Leonardo (C) 3. Eduardo Doma 6. Mancha 5. Auremir 31. Tarik 8. Marlone 7. Marcinho 89. Mario Sergio 81. Daniel Cruz
22. Caique Franca (G) 28. Rosales R. 12. Alisson Cassiano 44. Chico 29. Dalbert 8. Dominguez F. 94. Felipe 19. Lucas Lima (C) 30. Chrystian Barletta 99. Ze Roberto 77. Lenny Lobato
Substitutes
76. Felipe Vieira 35. Foguinho 1. Gabriel Gasparotto (G) 10. Giovanni Augusto 28. Habraao 98. Mailton 9. Pedro Perotti 99. Rafael Carvalheira 71. Rafinha Rech 34. Rodrigo Moledo 39. Thayllon 30. Thomas Bedinelli
38. Dieguinho 7. Fabinho 47. Fabio Matheus 26. Nassom 59. Ortiz C. 27. Pablo Dyego 48. Pedro Martins 17. Pedro Vilhena 45. Riquelme 21. Thiago Couto (G)
Coaches
Umberto Louzer
Lucena C.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
29', 0 - 1, Dominguez F. ⚽, Ze Roberto (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', JP Galvao ↓, Mailton ↑,
46', Auremir ↓, Rafael Carvalheira ↑,
59', Caique Franca 🟨,
64', Lenny Lobato ↓, Pablo Dyego ↑,
64', Lucas Lima ↓, Ortiz C. ↑,
68', Tarik ↓, Giovanni Augusto ↑,
71', Dalbert 🟨,
75', Ze Roberto ↓, Dieguinho ↑,
77', Mancha ↓, Pedro Perotti ↑,
78', Daniel Cruz ↓, Thomas Bedinelli ↑,
79', Chico 🟨,
82', Dominguez F. ↓, Fabio Matheus ↑,
83', Chrystian Barletta ↓, Pedro Vilhena ↑,
90', Rosales R. 🟨,
90+6', 1 - 1, Mario Sergio ⚽,
Preview
The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 16 and 8).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Chapecoense won 0.
Chapecoense is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Recent matches Recife is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Recife could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
There will not play in Chapecoense: Romulo
(Injury)
Ronaldo Mendes
(Injury)
There will not play in Recife: Rafael Thyere
(Injury)
Romarinho
(Injury)
Last 20 head-to-head matches Chapecoense won 5 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 19-28.
Including matches at home between the teams Chapecoense won 4 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 13-7.