The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Atlético Mineiro 57.1%
Draw 25.9%
Sport Recife 17%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
63.5%
20.7%
15.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Atlético Mineiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Atlético Mineiro's form might have worsened.
Sport Recife has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
66.7%
13.3%
20%
Atlético Mineiro - Sport Recife Predictions
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. Atlético MG will win (votes: 9 - 64.3%). Recife will win (votes: 3 - 21.4%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 14.3%). Confidence interval (95%) for Atlético MG: 39.2% – 89.4%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Atlético MG (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 3.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 50%) .
DC - Recife (2.16) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Atlético MG (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Recife (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
22. Everson (G) 26. Renzo Saravia 4. Lyanco (C) 14. Vitor Hugo 13. Guilherme Arana 8. Fausto Vera 17. Igor Gomes 10. Gustavo Scarpa 11. Bernard 33. Rony 92. Dudu
1. Gabriel (G) 13. Aderlan 15. Rafael Thyere (C) 40. Ramon Menezes 36. Luan Candido 16. Igor Carius 58. Ze Lucas 14. Rivera C. 19. Hyoran 17. Matheusinho 18. Derik Lacerda
Substitutes
77. Biel 42. Cadu 38. Caio Paulista 1. Gabriel Delfim (G) 25. Gabriel Menino 7. Hulk 30. Isaac 19. Joao Marcelo 2. Natanael 18. Reinier 16. Ruan Tressoldi 36. Veneno G.
20. Atencio R. 22. Caique Franca (G) 30. Chrystian Barletta 38. Leo Pereira 21. Lucas Kal 10. Lucas Lima 33. Matheus Alexandre 27. Oliveira S. 92. Pablo 28. Pedro Augusto 11. Romarinho 6. Silva J.
Coaches
Sampaoli J.
Daniel Paulista
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
9', Hyoran ↓, Atencio R. ↑,
9', 1 - 0, Vitor Hugo ⚽, Rony (A),
18', Lyanco ↓, Ruan Tressoldi ↑,
38', 2 - 0, Guilherme Arana ⚽,
40', Guilherme Arana 🟨,
44', Igor Gomes 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Ze Lucas ↓, Lucas Lima ↑,
46', Igor Carius ↓, Romarinho ↑,
53', Ramon Menezes 🟨,
59', Bernard ↓, Natanael ↑,
59', Dudu ↓, Biel ↑,
62', 3 - 0, Rony ⚽, Biel (A),
67', Gustavo Scarpa ↓, Hulk ↑,
67', Guilherme Arana ↓, Caio Paulista ↑,
67', Aderlan ↓, Matheus Alexandre ↑,
77', Atencio R. ↓, Oliveira S. ↑,
82', 3 - 1, Derik Lacerda (Pen),
85', Rivera C. 🟨,
86', Vitor Hugo 🟨,
90+4', Hulk 🟨,
Preview
A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: ) and 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlético MG won 4.
Atlético MG has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Recife is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
Recife may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Atlético MG is a strong favorite.
There will not play in Atlético MG: Cadu
(Knee Injury)
Caio Maia
(Knee Injury)
Fausto Vera
(Stomach Disorder)
Patrick Silva
(Broken tailbone)
There will not play in Recife: Denis
(Knee Injury)
Hereda
(Injury)
Pablo
(Calf Injury)
Ze Roberto
(Knee Injury)
In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Atlético MG won 9 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 33:25. (average 1.8:1.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Atlético MG won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 20:8. (average 2.2:0.9).
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Everson (G) 
Renzo Saravia 
Rivera C. 
Oliveira S. 
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