Match Info

Pernambucano - Round 4

Date: 21 January 2026, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Adelmar da Costa Carvalho (Recife)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Canal GOAT


	Sport Recife		Decisão

	1	X	2
	1.19	5.7	13.5
	1.18	5.29	17.68	Watch
	1.17	5.75	13
	1.18	5.2	16.5
	1.18	6.5	15
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.18 ↓ (1.25)	5.69 ↑ (4.65)	15.14 ↑ (12.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Sport Recife
77.8%

Draw
16.1%

Decisão
6.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

73.2%

19.7%

7.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sport Recife has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

Decisão has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Sport Recife - Decisão Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Halls (G)
30. Chrystian Barletta
60. Felipinho
11. Gustavo Maia
3. Marcelo Ajul
2. Matheus Alexandre
8. Max Alves
48. Pedro Martins
9. Ramirez I.
40. Ramon Menezes
23. Ze Gabriel
Substitutes
42. Adriano Sousa (G)
68. Augusto
29. Davi Gabriel
65. Dede
12. Denis
71. do Rozario Teixeira F.
67. Felipinho
62. Italo Lucas
31. Marlon Douglas
77. Micael
63. Patrick
99. Ze Roberto

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
27', 1 - 0, Chrystian Barletta ⚽,
36', 🟨,
36', Felipinho 🟨,
45+2', 2 - 0, Gustavo Maia ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
46', Mosquito ↓, Richarles ↑,
48', 🟨,
56', 3 - 0, Marcelo Ajul ⚽,
64', Max Alves ↓, Marlon Douglas ↑,
64', Pedro Martins ↓, Augusto ↑,
65', Fernando Portel ↓, Xandinho ↑,
68', 4 - 0, Felipinho ⚽,
74', Pablinho ↓, Henrique Araujo ↑,
82', Batista R. ↓, Luis Lipek ↑,
86', 5 - 0, Ze Roberto (Penalty Awarded),
90+1', Almeida da Silva K. D. 🟨,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Pernambucano (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Pernambucano (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Recent form of Recife has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Decisão's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Decisão may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Recife is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Recife won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:1. (average 1.8:0.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Recife won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 2:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sport Recife
Brazilian Campeonato Pernambucano
18.01.26	Náutico Capibaribe - Sport Recife	4:0 ✺
14.01.26	Sport Recife - Retrô Brasil	2:0 ✺
10.01.26	Jaguar - Sport Recife	2:2 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
07.12.25	Sport Recife - Grêmio	0:4 ✺
03.12.25	Bahia - Sport Recife	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 LWTLL
- Decisão FC
Brazilian Campeonato Pernambucano
17.01.26	Decisão - Jaguar	2:0 ✺
14.01.26	Decisão - Náutico Capibaribe	1:2 ✺
11.01.26	Santa Cruz Recife - Decisão	3:0 ✺
Club Friendly
04.01.26	Decisão - Confiança	1:0 ✺
28.12.25	Confiança PB - Decisão	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WLLWT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Pernambucano
02.03.25	Sport Recife - Decisão	3:0
14.01.25	Sport Recife - Decisão	1:1
01.08.20	Decisão - Sport Recife	0:3
09.02.20	Decisão - Sport Recife	0:0

Upcoming Matches