Match Info

Date: 19 March 2022, Saturday


	Sport Recife		Floresta

	1	X	2
	1.38	4.4	7.5
	1.34	4.3	7.5	Watch
	1.4	4	6.8
	1.38	4.31	8.23
	1.42	4.3	7.5	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.38 ↑ (1.37)	4.26 ↑ (4.2)	7.51 ↑ (7.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sport Recife
66.3%

Draw
21.5%

Floresta
12.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.1%

21.5%

12.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68%

20.9%

12.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sport Recife has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Floresta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sport Recife than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Floresta than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Sport Recife - Floresta Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa do Nordeste (Play Offs) and 8).

Sport Recife is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Floresta is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Floresta could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Sport Recife have a series of guest games.

In this match Sport Recife is certain favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sport Recife
Brazilian Campeonato Pernambucano
16.03.22	Íbis - Sport Recife	0:4 ✺
12.03.22	Náutico Capibaribe - Sport Recife	1:2 ✺
08.03.22	Salgueiro - Sport Recife	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
05.03.22	Bahia - Sport Recife	2:3 ✺
Copa do Brasil
02.03.22	Altos - Sport Recife	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.2 WWTWL
- Floresta EC
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
06.03.22	Floresta - Atlético de Alagoinhas	1:2 ✺
20.02.22	Sampaio Corrêa - Floresta	3:0 ✺
17.02.22	Floresta - Sergipe	1:0 ✺
13.02.22	Floresta - Campinense	4:3 ✺
08.02.22	CS Alagoano - Floresta	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 LLWWL

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