The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Mirassol 49.9%
Draw 28.3%
Sport Recife 21.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
45.3%
28.1%
26.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
45.6%
27.9%
26.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Mirassol has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)
Sport Recife has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mirassol than the current prediction. (-4.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sport Recife than the current prediction. (+4.5%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
94.4%
2.8%
2.8%
Mirassol - Sport Recife Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 2 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
AH -0.5 - Mirassol (1.85) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Mirassol will win
(34 of 36 users predict this - 94.44%). Confidence interval (95%): 86.95% – 100%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Mirassol will win (16 of 16 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 17 Selected Experts predict this event. Mirassol (votes: 17 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
22. Walter (G) 19. Lucas Ramon 34. Joao Victor 3. Jemmes 6. Reinaldo 21. Jose Aldo 8. Danielzinho (C) 27. Gabriel 41. Yago Felipe 11. Negueba 95. Edson Carioca
22. Caique Franca (G) 3. Lucas Cunha 25. Antonio Carlos 44. Chico 32. Hereda 37. Du Queiroz 58. Ze Lucas 10. Lucas Lima (C) 16. Igor Carius 30. Chrystian Barletta 92. Pablo
Substitutes
23. Alex Muralha (G) 10. Chico Kim 17. Cristian Renato 20. Daniel Borges 7. Daniel Fabricio 44. Gabriel 13. Luiz Filipe 4. Luiz Otavio 99. Maceio 18. Matheus Bianqui 90. Thomazella (G) 88. Ze Vitor
42. Adriano L. 38. Arthur Sousa 20. Atencio R. 17. Carlos Alberto 29. Dalbert 8. Dominguez F. 59. Ortiz C. 15. Rafael Thyere 14. Rivera C. 91. Romarinho 6. Silva J. 12. Thiago Couto (G)
Coaches
Rafael Guanaes
Toni Oliveira
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
34', 1 - 0, Reinaldo (Pen),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Chico ↓, Ortiz C. ↑,
46', Du Queiroz ↓, Dalbert ↑,
54', Negueba 🟨,
59', Yago Felipe ↓, Chico Kim ↑,
64', Lucas Lima 🟨,
66', Hereda ↓, Carlos Alberto ↑,
67', Jose Aldo ↓, Cristian Renato ↑,
67', Edson Carioca ↓, Matheus Bianqui ↑,
74', Lucas Lima ↓, Rivera C. ↑,
74', Ze Lucas ↓, Atencio R. ↑,
79', Gabriel ↓, Ze Vitor ↑,
79', Negueba ↓, Daniel Fabricio ↑,
83', Cristian Renato 🟨,
85', Lucas Ramon 🟨,
90+7', Ze Vitor 🟨,
Preview
A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: ) and 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet).
Recent performances by Mirassol have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Recife is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
Mirassol may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Mirassol is a strong favorite.
There will not play in Mirassol: David Braz
(Injury)
Leo Gamalho
(Injury)
Matheus Sales
(Injury)
Neto Moura
(Yellow Cards)
Rafa Silva
(Thigh Injury)
There will not play in Recife: Oliveira S.
(Yellow Cards)
Paciencia G.
(Thigh Injury)
There are questionable in Mirassol: Edson Carioca
(Injury)
There are questionable in Recife: Ze Roberto
(Knee Injury)
In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Mirassol won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 0.5:0.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Mirassol won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).