Match Info

Date: 13 September 2022, Tuesday

Location: Children's Mercy Park (Kansas City)

Referee: Mendoza R. (Usa)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports
Germany	DAZN Deutsch


	Sporting Kansas City		DC United

	1	X	2
	1.66	4.2	4.75	Watch
	1.66	4	4.5
	1.65	4	4.75
	1.65	4	4.5
	1.7	4.22	4.83
	1.67	3.9	4.6	Watch
	1.66	4.2	4.55	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.66 ↓ (1.78)	4.07 ↑ (3.9)	4.64 ↑ (3.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

Watch this match and MLS with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: NBC Sports Washington

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Current Win Probability

Sporting Kansas City
56.6%

Draw
23.1%

DC United
20.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.8%

23.7%

24.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.5%

23.4%

24.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sporting Kansas City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

DC United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sporting Kansas City than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for DC United than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
52.2%	30.4%	17.4%

Sporting Kansas City - DC United Predictions

Users Predictions: 23 users predict this event. Kansas City will win (votes: 12 - 52.2%). DC United will win (votes: 4 - 17.4%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 30.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Kansas City: 31.8% – 72.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 12 and 14).

Kansas City has the most likely position - 12 (29.56%), has project points - 37, has currently - 31, has a very small chance of playoffs (<1%), has not chance of first-round bye, has not chance of supporters shield, has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

DC United has the most likely position - 14 (93.4%), has project points - 32, has currently - 27, has not chance of playoffs.

This event has quality 35, very small importance 0, small match rating 18. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Kansas City won 1.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Kansas City could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Kansas City is a favorite.

There will not play in Kansas City: Kinda G. (Injury) Melia T. (Injury) Pulido A. (Injury)

There will not play in DC United: Fountas T. (Injury) Hines-Ike B. (Injury) Perez A. (Injury) Smith B. (Injury)

There are questionable in Kansas City: Cisneros O. (Injury) Zusi G. (Injury)

Last 11 head-to-head matches Kansas City won 3 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 5-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Kansas City won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sporting Kansas City
MLS
10.09.22	Houston Dynamo - Sporting Kansas City	0:0 ✺
04.09.22	Los Angeles Galaxy - Sporting Kansas City	2:2 ✺
27.08.22	Sporting Kansas City - San Jose Earthquakes	1:0 ✺
21.08.22	Sporting Kansas City - Portland Timbers	4:1 ✺
13.08.22	Austin FC - Sporting Kansas City	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 TTWWL
- DC United
MLS
10.09.22	Real Salt Lake - DC United	0:0 ✺
04.09.22	DC United - Colorado Rapids	0:0 ✺
31.08.22	New York City - DC United	1:2 ✺
28.08.22	Atlanta United - DC United	3:2 ✺
20.08.22	DC United - Philadelphia Union	0:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.3 TTWLL

Latest Head to Head

MLS
12.05.19	DC United - Sporting Kansas City	1:0
31.03.18	Sporting Kansas City - DC United	1:0
04.03.17	DC United - Sporting Kansas City	0:0
27.05.16	Sporting Kansas City - DC United	0:1
09.05.15	DC United - Sporting Kansas City	1:1
03.10.14	DC United - Sporting Kansas City	0:0
23.08.14	Sporting Kansas City - DC United	0:3

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