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Current Win Probability
Austin FC 59.5%
Draw 21.9%
Sporting Kansas City 18.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
63.3%
20.4%
16.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
65.9%
19.6%
15.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Austin FC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)
Sporting Kansas City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Austin FC than the current prediction. (+6.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Austin FC, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sporting Kansas City than the current prediction. (-3%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
85.7%
14.3%
0%
Austin FC - Sporting Kansas City Predictions
Users Predictions:
Austin FC will win
(6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%). Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Stuver B. (G) 3. Desler M. 5. Svatok O. 15. Bell J. 29. Guilherme Biro 11. Torres F. 30. Rosales J. 6. Sanchez I. (C) 33. Wolff O. 21. Ramirez C. 10. Uzuni M.
30. Cleveland S. (G) 8. Davis J. 2. James I. 28. Meyer W. 99. Reid J. 7. Capita 4. Johnsen L. 22. Bassong Z. 11. Harris C. 9. Joveljic D. (C) 19. Calheira T.
Substitutes
35. Djordjevic M. 20. Dubersarsky N. 19. Fodrey C. 17. Gallagher J. 23. Kolmanic Z. 12. Las D. (G) 7. Nelson J. 8. Pereira D. 9. Vazquez B.
17. Afrifa S. 16. Bartlett J. 23. Bartlow E. 57. Diego Borges 6. Garcia M. 1. Pulskamp J. (G) 13. Reynolds J. 93. Suleymanov S. 14. Tschantret M.
Coaches
Estevez N.
Wicky R.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
28', Capita 🟨,
45+1', 1 - 0, Desler M. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Capita ↓, Suleymanov S. ↑,
47', Davis J. 🟨,
57', Svatok O. 🟨,
60', Wolff O. ↓, Gallagher J. ↑,
60', Ramirez C. ↓, Nelson J. ↑,
61', Sanchez I. 🟨,
63', Bassong Z. 🟨,
64', Bassong Z. ↓, Garcia M. ↑,
64', Davis J. ↓, Reynolds J. ↑,
71', Nelson J. 🟨,
73', Torres F. ↓, Vazquez B. ↑,
73', Sanchez I. ↓, Djordjevic M. ↑,
75', Calheira T. ↓, Afrifa S. ↑,
80', 1 - 1, Garcia M. ⚽, Suleymanov S. (A),
83', 1 - 2, Afrifa S. ⚽,
84', Desler M. ↓, Fodrey C. ↑,
86', Fodrey C. 🟨,
Preview
This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 13 and 15).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Austin won 3.
Austin has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Kansas City's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
In this match, Austin is considered a favorite.
There will not play in Austin: Hines-Ike B.
(Injury)
Taylor R.
(Knee Injury)
There will not play in Kansas City: Agyabeng K.
(Groin Injury)
Miller J.
(Hamstring Injury)
There are questionable in Austin: Fodrey C.
(Leg Injury)
Nelson J.
(Lower-Body Injury)
In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Austin won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 20:19. (average 1.7:1.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Austin won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 13:7. (average 2.6:1.4).
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Stuver B. (G) 
Desler M. 
Svatok O. 
Bell J. 
Guilherme Biro 
Torres F. 
Rosales J. 
Sanchez I. (C) 
Uzuni M. 
Capita 
Johnsen L. 
Bassong Z. 
Harris C. 
Joveljic D. (C) 
Dubersarsky N. 
Gallagher J. 
Kolmanic Z. 
Pereira D. 
Suleymanov S. 
Wicky R. 
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