Match Info

EUROPE: EUROPA LEAGUE - PLAY OFFS - QUARTER-FINALS

Date: 20 April 2023, Thursday

Location: Estádio José Alvalade (Lisbon)

Referee: Letexier F. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Stan Sport
Bulgaria	Max Sport 3
Croatia	Arena Sport
Czech-republic	Sport 1
Finland	Viaplay
Germany	RTL
Hungary	RTL3
Netherlands	ESPN
Norway	Viaplay
Poland	Viaplay
Portugal	Sport TV
Slovenia	SportKlub
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport Premium
United-kingdom	BT Sport


	Sporting Lisbon		Juventus

	1	X	2
	2.3	3.2	3.4
	2.35	3.1	3.2
	2.33	3.3	3.4
	2.4	3.3	3
	2.34	3.33	3.32
	2.3	3.25	3.25
	2.27	3.3	3.26
	2.4	3.3	3.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.34 ↓ (2.4)	3.26 ↓ (3.4)	3.27 ↑ (2.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sporting Lisbon
41.1%

Draw
29.5%

Juventus
29.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.2%

27.7%

33%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.9%

27.9%

33.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sporting Lisbon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

Juventus has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sporting Lisbon than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juventus than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
43.6%	27.3%	29.1%

Sporting Lisbon - Juventus Predictions

Users Predictions: 55 users predict this event. Sporting will win (votes: 24 - 43.6%). Juventus will win (votes: 16 - 29.1%). It will Tie (votes: 15 - 27.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sporting: 30.5% – 56.7%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 0-1.

Sporting has already of knockout phase, already of round of 16, already of qtrs, a chance of semis (34%), a chance of final (17%), a small chance of win league (9%).

Juventus has already of knockout phase, already of round of 16, already of qtrs, a good chance of semis (66%), a chance of final (33%), a chance of win league (16%).

This event has big quality 75, very big importance 100, big match rating 87. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Sporting will have a mini benefit in this match.

There will not play in Sporting: Braganca D. (Knee Injury) Cabral J. (Injury) Paulinho (Injury) St. Juste J. (Muscle Injury)

There will not play in Juventus: Ihattaren M. (Lacking Match Fitness) Kaio Jorge (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Juventus: De Sciglio M. (Muscle Injury) Kean M. (Muscle Injury)

Last 3 head-to-head matches Sporting won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Sporting won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sporting Lisbon
Liga Portugal
16.04.23	Sporting Lisbon - Arouca	1:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
13.04.23	Juventus - Sporting Lisbon	1:0 ✺
Liga Portugal
09.04.23	Casa Pia - Sporting Lisbon	3:4 ✺
05.04.23	Gil Vicente - Sporting Lisbon	0:0 ✺
01.04.23	Sporting Lisbon - Santa Clara	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 TLWTW
- Juventus
Italian Serie A
16.04.23	Sassuolo - Juventus	1:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
13.04.23	Juventus - Sporting Lisbon	1:0 ✺
Italian Serie A
08.04.23	Lazio - Juventus	2:1 ✺
Coppa Italia
04.04.23	Juventus - Inter Milan	1:1 ✺
Italian Serie A
01.04.23	Juventus - Verona	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LWLTW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa League
13.04.23	Juventus - Sporting Lisbon	1:0
UEFA Champions League
31.10.17	Sporting Lisbon - Juventus	1:1
18.10.17	Juventus - Sporting Lisbon	2:1

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