Match Info

Liga Portugal - Round 7

Date: 19 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Estádio José Alvalade (Lisbon)

Referee: Silva D. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Sporting Lisbon		Arouca

	1	X	2
	1.13	8.00	13.00	Watch
	1.18	7.25	13.00
	1.17	7.50	14.00	Watch
	1.16	8.56	17.43
	1.18	7.77	14.28	Watch
	1.14	8.45	17.00
	1.14	9.65	18.50
	1.15	7.60	14.00
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.16 ↓ (1.25)	8.1 ↑ (5.78)	15.15 ↑ (10.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sporting Lisbon
82%

Draw
11.7%

Arouca
6.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

74.8%

16.1%

9.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sporting Lisbon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sporting Lisbon's performance.

Arouca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

Sporting Lisbon - Arouca Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Silva R. (G) 22. Fresneda I. 6. Debast Z. 25. Inacio G. (C) 20. Araujo M. 5. Altimira S. 77. Doumbia I. 10. Catamo G. 17. Zalazar R. 19. Irankunda N. 97. Suarez L.	12. De Arruabarrena I. (G) 28. Tiago Esgaio (C) 15. Sanchez J. 3. Fontan J. 18. Lebedenko O. 6. van Ee E. 8. Fukui T. 19. Trezza A. 21. Flores M. 7. Djouahra N. 17. Barbero I.
Substitutes
4. Andersen S. 28. Derry J. 50. Dias R. 58. Goncalves F. 7. Ioannidis F. 30. Kaique Pereira (G) 31. Luis Guilherme 9. Nel R. 21. Pedro Lima 72. Quaresma E. 8. Simoes J. 13. Vagiannidis G.	27. Balde M. 37. Climent M. 71. Duarte M. (G) 24. Mansilla B. 9. Mayulu F. 4. Monteiro D. 23. Nandin D. 77. Park S. 89. Pedro Santos 5. Popovic B. 20. Rukavina G. 1. Vinarcik J. (G)
Coaches
Borges R.	Seabra V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
3', 1 - 0, Inacio G. ⚽, Araujo M. (A),
17', 2 - 0, Suarez L. ⚽, Fresneda I. (A),
36', van Ee E. 🟨,
44', Sanchez J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Flores M. ↓, Rukavina G. ↑,
51', Fontan J. 🟨,
54', Debast Z. 🟥,
57', Irankunda N. ↓, Quaresma E. ↑,
59', van Ee E. ↓, Pedro Santos ↑,
61', Suarez L. 🟨,
61', Pedro Santos 🟨,
66', Zalazar R. ↓, Andersen S. ↑,
69', Trezza A. ↓, Mansilla B. ↑,
80', Quaresma E. 🟨,
81', 2 - 1, Fontan J. (Penalty Awarded),
86', Sanchez J. ↓, Nandin D. ↑,
86', Barbero I. ↓, Mayulu F. ↑,
86', Suarez L. ↓, Ioannidis F. ↑,
86', Doumbia I. ↓, Pedro Lima ↑,
87', 2 - 2, Nandin D. ⚽,
90+2', Mansilla B. 🟨,
90+4', Araujo M. 🟨,

Preview

A clash between two contenders competing at the top of the table (ranked 3rd in the Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: ) and 5th in the Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sporting won 4.

Sporting is currently on a high with consecutive positive results (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Performances by Arouca have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Arouca could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

In this match, Sporting enters as the overwhelming favorite.

Confirmed absences for Sporting: Santos N. (Muscle Injury) Zekri M. (Injury).

Confirmed absences for Arouca: Puche (Knee Injury).

Doubtful / questionable for Sporting: Ba I. (Knock).

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Sporting has recorded 17 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 44:12 (averaging 2.2:0.6 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Sporting against this opponent, the record stands at 7 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses, with 23:5 goals (averaging 2.6:0.6 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Sporting CP	8	5	3	0	20:9	11	18
6	Arouca	7	3	2	2	10:7	3	11

Last Results with these Odds

Sporting Lisbon - the odds 1.25 are the expected chance of winning is 74.79%, but this team recently wins 92% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sporting Lisbon
Liga Portugal
13.09.26	Famalicão - Sporting Lisbon	1:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
09.09.26	Sporting Lisbon - Galatasaray	3:1 ✺
Liga Portugal
05.09.26	Sporting Lisbon - Nacional	2:0 ✺
28.08.26	Rio Ave - Sporting Lisbon	0:4 ✺
22.08.26	Sporting Lisbon - Alverca	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 TWWWW
- FC Arouca
Liga Portugal
13.09.26	Arouca - Santa Clara	1:2 ✺
07.09.26	Estoril Praia - Arouca	0:0 ✺
29.08.26	Arouca - Marítimo	2:1 ✺
23.08.26	Porto - Arouca	2:0 ✺
16.08.26	Arouca - Moreirense	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 LTWLW

Latest Head to Head

Liga Portugal
24.01.26	Arouca - Sporting Lisbon	1:2
17.08.25	Sporting Lisbon - Arouca	6:0
15.02.25	Sporting Lisbon - Arouca	2:2
13.09.24	Arouca - Sporting Lisbon	0:3
10.03.24	Arouca - Sporting Lisbon	0:3
08.10.23	Sporting Lisbon - Arouca	2:1
16.04.23	Sporting Lisbon - Arouca	1:1

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