Match Info

Liga Portugal - Round 34

Date: 16 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Estádio José Alvalade (Lisbon)

Referee: Branco Godinho L. M. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


Albania	Tring Sport 2
Andorra	beIN Sports 1
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 1
Brazil	Disney+
Bulgaria	Ring, Voyo
Croatia	SportKlub 2
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 5, Cytavision Sports 5
Denmark	Bold+
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Free
Germany	Sportdigital FUSSBALL 2
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 1
Hungary	Sport 2
Israel	Sport 1
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kosovo	Arena Premium 1
Netherlands	Ziggo Go, Ziggo Sport 2
Poland	Eleven Sports 1
Portugal	Sport TV2
Serbia	Arena Premium 1
Slovenia	SportKlub 3
Turkey	S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 1
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 2, MEGOGO Sport, MEGOGO Ukraine
World	Onefootball


	Sporting Lisbon		Gil Vicente

	1	X	2
	1.19	8	9.5	Watch
	1.23	6.75	9.75
	1.27	5.4	10.5	Watch
	1.24	5.97	10.84
	1.26	5.84	10.87	Watch
	1.18	7	12
	1.23	6.85	13.7	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.23 ↓ (1.24)	6.54 ↑ (6.17)	11.02 ↓ (11.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sporting Lisbon
77%

Draw
14.4%

Gil Vicente
8.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

76.2%

15.3%

8.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sporting Lisbon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Gil Vicente has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
76.9%	7.7%	15.4%

Sporting Lisbon - Gil Vicente Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Sporting will win (votes: 10 - 76.9%). Gil Vicente will win (votes: 2 - 15.4%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sporting: 54% – 99.8%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 0.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - no (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Silva R. (G) 13. Vagiannidis G. 72. Quaresma E. 25. Inacio G. 20. Araujo M. 42. Hjulmand M. (C) 5. Morita H. 10. Catamo G. 17. Trincao 8. Pote 97. Suarez L.	99. Figueira Daniel (G) 2. Ze Carlos (C) 4. Elimbi M. 39. Buatu J. 3. Konan G. 5. Caseres F. 95. Garcia S. 77. Murilo de Souza 10. Esteves L. 11. Fernandes J. 89. Varela G.
Substitutes
70. Blopa S. 23. Braganca D. 73. Felicissimo E. 14. Kochorashvili G. 31. Luis Guilherme 91. Mangas R. 90. Nel R. 7. Quenda G. 12. Virginia J. (G)	17. Bermejo 29. Carlos Eduardo 48. Espigares A. 32. Fernandez M. 23. Hernandez H. 20. Hevertton S. 30. Lucao (G) 27. Moreira A. 6. Ze Carlos
Coaches
Borges R.	Peixoto C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
15', 1 - 0, Quaresma E. ⚽, Pote (A),
34', 2 - 0, Suarez L. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Fernandes J. ↓, Moreira A. ↑,
63', Ze Carlos 🟨,
73', Morita H. ↓, Braganca D. ↑,
73', Pote ↓, Luis Guilherme ↑,
73', Catamo G. ↓, Quenda G. ↑,
73', Varela G. ↓, Hernandez H. ↑,
73', Ze Carlos ↓, Hevertton S. ↑,
82', Caseres F. ↓, Ze Carlos ↑,
82', Murilo de Souza ↓, Bermejo ↑,
90', Trincao ↓, Blopa S. ↑,
90', Vagiannidis G. ↓, Mangas R. ↑,
90+3', 3 - 0, Hjulmand M. ⚽, Quenda G. (A),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sporting won 3.

Sporting is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Gil Vicente is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Sporting is the clear favorite.

There will not play in Sporting: Debast Z. (Leg Injury) Diomande O. (Yellow Cards) Fresneda I. (Muscle Injury) Hjulmand M. (Ankle Injury) Ioannidis F. (Knee Injury) Simoes J. (Foot Injury)

There will not play in Gil Vicente: Bamba M. (Injury) Toure T. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Sporting: Santos N. (Inactive)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Sporting won 16 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 44:11. (average 2.2:0.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Sporting won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 24:6. (average 2.7:0.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Sporting CP	8	5	3	0	20:9	11	18
7	Gil Vicente	7	3	2	2	6:5	1	11

Last Results with these Odds

Sporting Lisbon - the odds 1.24 are the expected chance of winning is 76.17%, but this team recently wins 89% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sporting Lisbon
Liga Portugal
11.05.26	Rio Ave - Sporting Lisbon	1:4 ✺
04.05.26	Sporting Lisbon - Vitoria Guimarães	5:1 ✺
29.04.26	Sporting Lisbon - Tondela	2:2 ✺
26.04.26	AVS - Sporting Lisbon	1:1 ✺
Taça de Portugal
22.04.26	Porto - Sporting Lisbon	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WWTTT
- Gil Vicente
Liga Portugal
11.05.26	Gil Vicente - Arouca	1:3 ✺
03.05.26	Rio Ave - Gil Vicente	0:0 ✺
27.04.26	Gil Vicente - Casa Pia	2:1 ✺
18.04.26	Gil Vicente - Vitoria Guimarães	0:1 ✺
13.04.26	Tondela - Gil Vicente	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 LTWLT

Latest Head to Head

Liga Portugal
02.01.26	Gil Vicente - Sporting Lisbon	1:1
04.05.25	Sporting Lisbon - Gil Vicente	2:1
Taça de Portugal
27.02.25	Gil Vicente - Sporting Lisbon	0:1
Liga Portugal
22.12.24	Gil Vicente - Sporting Lisbon	0:0
12.04.24	Gil Vicente - Sporting Lisbon	0:4
04.12.23	Sporting Lisbon - Gil Vicente	3:1
05.04.23	Gil Vicente - Sporting Lisbon	0:0

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